all causes of death except trauma eliminated
all causes of death except trauma eliminated
The oldest living people in recent history have been somewhere around 122 years old.
All causes of death eliminated?
Theoretically, one could live forever... unless you are implying that people will go insane and the murder rate would go up!!! Certainly one would also be concerned with vehicle safety and industrial safety.
One of the biggest issues with super-long-lifespans is the replacement population. Say we determine that the earth can support about 10 billion people. If everyone suddenly started living for 200 years, for example, we would have to severely curb the birth rate to keep under the 10 billion limit.
The problem becomes even more exaggerated if say we allow people to live for 1000 years, but require that women have babies before age 50. A one child per couple policy might help, but there would be be a huge bubble of the aging current generation.
I'm not concerned here about population growth. Clearly reproduction would have to be tightly controlled to keep the population manageable, but perhaps we could spread to other planets. After all if you have a lifespan that is basically unlimited you could travel between the stars.
I'm not concerned here about population growth. Clearly reproduction would have to be tightly controlled to keep the population manageable, but perhaps we could spread to other planets. After all if you have a lifespan that is basically unlimited you could travel between the stars.
| Code | Cause | Percent of deaths | Deaths per 100,000 | Male/100,000 | Female/100,000 |
| E | Unintentional injuries | 6.23 | 57 | 73.7 | 40.2 |
| E.1 | Road traffic accidents | 2.09 | 19.1 | 27.8 | 10.4 |
| E.2 | Falls | 0.69 | 6.3 | 7.5 | 5 |
| E.3 | Drowning | 0.67 | 6.1 | 8.4 | 3.9 |
| E.4 | Poisoning | 0.61 | 5.6 | 7.2 | 4 |
| E.5 | Fires | 0.55 | 5 | 3.8 | 6.2 |
| G | Intentional injuries (Suicide, Violence, War, etc.) | 2.84 | 26 | 37 | 14.9 |
| G.1 | Suicide | 1.53 | 14 | 17.4 | 10.6 |
| G.2 | Violence | 0.98 | 9 | 14.2 | 3.7 |
| G.3 | War | 0.3 | 2.8 | 5 | 0.5 |
| H | Neuropsychiatric disorders | 1.95 | 17.9 | 18.4 | 17.3 |
| H.4 | Alcohol use disorders | 0.16 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 0.4 |
| H.5 | Drug use disorders | 0.15 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 0.5 |
| J | Nutritional deficiencies | 0.85 | 7.8 | 6.9 | 8.7 |
| 93.7 |
I'm not concerned here about population growth. Clearly reproduction would have to be tightly controlled to keep the population manageable, but perhaps we could spread to other planets. After all if you have a lifespan that is basically unlimited you could travel between the stars... or die of starvation on the way, or exposure to intense radiation, or shot down by aliens ;)
I doubt that Alien life will be compatible with Earth life, so determining how to meld the life of colonists and aliens would mean complex decisions.
Possibly, especially if life was seeded from a previous supernova.I doubt that Alien life will be compatible with Earth life, so determining how to meld the life of colonists and aliens would mean complex decisions.Maybe our biochemistry is the only viable biochemistry in the universe and all alien lifeforms will closely resemble us (on a molecular scale of course)
Who knows? ;)
If you look up mortality on the WWW:That's suprising! I thought average life span would be at least 10000 years. Is this just MVA's or other accidents as well?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_causes_of_death_by_rate
(global, I think).
You can dump the diseases, and you get left with a list like the following (noting repeats in sub-letters).
Code Cause Percent
of deathsDeaths
per 100,000Male/100,000 Female/100,000 E Unintentional injuries 6.23 57 73.7 40.2 E.1 Road traffic accidents 2.09 19.1 27.8 10.4 E.2 Falls 0.69 6.3 7.5 5 E.3 Drowning 0.67 6.1 8.4 3.9 E.4 Poisoning 0.61 5.6 7.2 4 E.5 Fires 0.55 5 3.8 6.2 G Intentional injuries (Suicide, Violence, War, etc.) 2.84 26 37 14.9 G.1 Suicide 1.53 14 17.4 10.6 G.2 Violence 0.98 9 14.2 3.7 G.3 War 0.3 2.8 5 0.5 H Neuropsychiatric disorders 1.95 17.9 18.4 17.3 H.4 Alcohol use disorders 0.16 1.5 2.5 0.4 H.5 Drug use disorders 0.15 1.4 2.2 0.5 J Nutritional deficiencies 0.85 7.8 6.9 8.7 93.7
Anyway, that gives you a total of about 93.7 deaths / 100,000 person-years.
It is up to you to determine whether a neuropsychiatric disorder, suicide, and etc are disease states... [xx(]
So...
Simply dividing 100,000/93.7 and you get an average global lifespan of about 1067 years
I assume if you found a similar list for the USA, or some of the European countries, the numbers would be even lower... and thus a longer average lifespan.
That's suprising! I thought average life span would be at least 10000 years. Is this just MVA's or other accidents as well?You can see the list, my calculations, and the source.
Keep in mind that we will quite possibly have a severe energy crisis within the next century or two, especially if we don't get our population growth under control.