The Naked Scientists

The Naked Scientists Forum

Author Topic: climate patterns and statistics  (Read 3376 times)

Offline yor_on

  • Naked Science Forum GOD!
  • *******
  • Posts: 11999
  • Thanked: 4 times
  • (Ah, yes:) *a table is always good to hide under*
    • View Profile
climate patterns and statistics
« on: 15/09/2010 18:40:18 »


 

Offline LeeE

  • Neilep Level Member
  • ******
  • Posts: 3382
    • View Profile
    • Spatial
climate patterns and statistics
« Reply #1 on: 17/09/2010 01:09:32 »
It certainly raises a valid issue.

I think the best illustration of how causality in statistics can be misinterpreted, that I've heard of, was the hypothetical one that looked at the percentage of tea-drinkers in gaol, which implied that because > 98% of the inmates drank tea, the most common factor in committing crimes was the consumption of tea.
 

Offline Geezer

  • Neilep Level Member
  • ******
  • Posts: 8328
  • "Vive la résistance!"
    • View Profile
climate patterns and statistics
« Reply #2 on: 17/09/2010 04:44:33 »
It certainly raises a valid issue.

I think the best illustration of how causality in statistics can be misinterpreted, that I've heard of, was the hypothetical one that looked at the percentage of tea-drinkers in gaol, which implied that because > 98% of the inmates drank tea, the most common factor in committing crimes was the consumption of tea.

Oi! Is you saying I'm a tea leaf then?
 

Offline yor_on

  • Naked Science Forum GOD!
  • *******
  • Posts: 11999
  • Thanked: 4 times
  • (Ah, yes:) *a table is always good to hide under*
    • View Profile
climate patterns and statistics
« Reply #3 on: 18/09/2010 12:16:03 »
Thank God I bought me some coffee :)
Eh, that is safe I hope?

One more thing to worry about :)
 

The Naked Scientists Forum

climate patterns and statistics
« Reply #3 on: 18/09/2010 12:16:03 »

 

SMF 2.0.10 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines
SMFAds for Free Forums