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Author Topic: Are they pulling my leg with this maths?  (Read 780 times)

Offline Thebox

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Are they pulling my leg with this maths?
« on: 03/12/2015 22:25:50 »
''In general we know;

3a45d7a32bce80ff622228754cdc403e.gif


So the odds there are 4 aces in deck Y are;

3d765635da37836529a08a2d1f8e3082.gif''


I have been given this maths on another forum, I do not know if this is correct. Is this correct please?


 

Offline chiralSPO

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Re: Are they pulling my leg with this maths?
« Reply #1 on: 04/12/2015 00:06:16 »
These equations look good to me. I don't like the phrase "...so the odds there are 4 aces in deck Y are..." but I might be missing the context, or they might have said something they did not mean (typically the probability that a deck of cards contains 4 aces is around 100%). At just a glance, it looks like the second equation is for calculating the probability that there are 4 aces in a deck of 52 cards that was constructed by picking 52 cards from an infinite number of decks...
 

Offline Thebox

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Re: Are they pulling my leg with this maths?
« Reply #2 on: 04/12/2015 00:22:47 »
The first equation represents 4 aces in a standard deck of 52 cards an x-axis

the second equation represents 52 random top cards (Y)  from 52 decks , showing that y only has a 20.3% chance of containing 4 aces and being even to X.


Some people have understand my poker theory and it looks like I might be correct after all.


Thank you for confirming the maths. Alan's link lead me to the maths I needed, an auto correlation link that lead me to cross correlation and  Time series analysis.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cross-correlation

I think they used this but for 52 rather than 100 -

9bd2ab75ec26546975695910e4fbb57b.gif
« Last Edit: 04/12/2015 00:28:31 by Thebox »
 

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Re: Are they pulling my leg with this maths?
« Reply #2 on: 04/12/2015 00:22:47 »

 

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