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How bad will environmental stress become ?
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How bad will environmental stress become ?
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Petrochemicals
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How bad will environmental stress become ?
«
on:
30/10/2019 03:41:11 »
Given that
1)there are roughly 1 billion people on the earth that have the recources usage that makes life comfortable to the point of being comfortable, 6 billion at varying degrees of forfillment, ie vehicles house, energy, food, consumerism, healthcare etc
2) the population of the earth will explode due to longer lives and births
How bad will the stress on the planet become.
My theory,
Recource use needs to be 2.33 times what it is now, to accomodate the current population based on. 6 billion people wanting to double there usage and one billion being content. 3 billion peoples worth of content usage currently being used, needs to increace to 7 billion, 2.33 times or an extra 4 billion worth of recources ?
Population being increaced to 10 billion through births, population to live to 75 years on average, 15 billion ? 8 billion persons worth of rescource usage ?
Totalling 12 billion extra. Or 4 times current usage.Given that recource usage
https://www.overshootday.org/newsroom/country-overshoot-days/
is running out by the start of august . Extra 4 + 1 use means that what was usage of 180% becomes more like 900% or early february
If efficiency doubles(optimistic i think), saving bring new recource demand down to 2 times current usage, 3 times current recource use will be needed. Given that the earth is reacting to the stress.
1)Employing a triangular theory , stress on the environment will double per year
2)Employing a pyramidal or square theory stress will go up 1.7 times per year
3)Employing a cubic theory stress will increace 1.44 times per year
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Re: How bad will environmental stress become ?
«
Reply #1 on:
30/10/2019 04:05:26 »
I think that's a fatalistic outlook. I believe that global warming is a blessing. More rainfall.....weather patterns will moderate......earth will green up. Think of a green Sahara and a green Australia.
The prediction of population and resources has always been a failure.
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