1

New Theories / Re: An essay in futility, too long to read :)

« on: Today at 09:30:39 »

Climate 'pinpricks'

" Historic heatwave poised to hit dozens of US states this weekend "

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/may/20/us-heatwave-weekend-temperatures-climate-crisis

" India’s wheat farmers count cost of 40C heat that evokes ‘deserts of Rajasthan’ "

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/may/21/india-wheat-farmers-40c-heat-food-security

and Europe

" Unseasonably high temperatures have been affecting both Iberia and France over recent days. Temperatures have been about 10-15C above average thanks to a southerly flow of very warm and dry air from north Africa.

On 17 May, temperatures across much of Spain, as well as southern and central France, widely exceeded 30C. A top temperature of 35.5C was recorded in the southern Spanish province of Huelva, with a provisional high of 32.9C recorded in the French commune of Montélimar. La Hague near the Channel hit 26.6C, beating the May record for this location set 100 years ago."

I say two decades, and I do think I'm correct. That's our window of opportunity. Go to war instead, over resources and geopolitics, and you can forget about everything else. That will just be you, signing your death certificate.

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/may/21/france-spain-temperatures-cyclone-yakecan-uruguay-brazil

2

New Theories / Re: An essay in futility, too long to read :)

« on: Today at 09:18:00 »

He's right of course. Without water no crops, without crops no food.

3

New Theories / Re: An essay in futility, too long to read :)

« on: Today at 09:17:13 »

Water rights, and it's not only Nebraska worrying about them, or Colorado.

Sudan

" “We will not have enough water and it will dry up and if it dries up, all the livelihoods that connected to that area, including fishing, resettlement and grazing lands will be lost,” Akec told the Associated Press. “Water is more valuable than oil, diamonds and gold,” said Akec. “Let’s wake-up from our sleep and stop the theft of water and destruction of our ecosystems and economic future by Egypt.”

The canal, first proposed by a British engineer in Cairo back in 1904, would divert water away from the Sudd wetlands to deliver 10 billion cubic meters (2.6 trillion gallons) from the Nile to downstream Sudan and Egypt. Plans started to take shape in 1954 but the project was halted 30 years later and is now at a stalemate. About 270 kilometers (168 miles) of a total of 340 km (150 miles) of the canal has already been excavated. "

https://apnews.com/article/climate-floods-sudan-environment-wetlands-f1a327f23d51bb0b8abe0671ddd5f82e

4

New Theories / Re: An essay in futility, too long to read :)

« on: Today at 09:14:13 »

But a war will solve it. You will forget everything once it starts.

5

New Theories / Re: An essay in futility, too long to read :)

« on: Today at 09:13:06 »

We won't be able to afford those green washing procedures much longer. Not even in the United States.

6

New Theories / Re: An essay in futility, too long to read :)

« on: Today at 09:11:25 »

Futile, but needed if we want to argue business as usual.

" Companies such as Carbon Engineering and Climeworks are building direct air capture facilities that use giant fans to suck carbon dioxide out of the air and store it underground, or capture it to make synthetic fuel, soft drinks or concrete. But the facilities built so far remove just a tiny fraction of the carbon dioxide that scientists say is necessary to make a difference.  "

https://apnews.com/article/climate-technology-science-environment-ec771dfcccc15a126a8e8f86d7b2798a

so called 'New Tech'.

7

New Theories / Re: An essay in futility, too long to read :)

« on: Today at 09:09:00 »

Chile

" Chile receives some of the strongest and most consistent sunshine on the planet, especially in the Atacama Desert, in the north. So it was natural for the country to seek investment in solar and wind projects through public auctions and quotas that required electricity companies to offer a minimum amount of renewable energy.

Investors heard their call. Developers built out hundreds of solar, wind and geothermal plants throughout the country, which stretches 4,300km (2,700 miles) from north to south. But the devil was in the details. To provide power when the sun wasn’t shining, the government also invested heavily in fossil fuel infrastructure.

Natural gas importers and owners of gas-fired plants successfully argued that to secure long-term contracts for gas, they needed a guarantee that the Chilean power grid would take their gas-fired electricity even when other, greener generators were making plenty of power. "

A similar argument to the one in where we just change fossil producers from Russia to USA and the Middle East, isn't it? Both presuming that we can't step away from fossils. And with Chile's fossil producers giving the arguments for how to argue in Europe. And it should be the same for Norway. Everything interacts.

https://apnews.com/article/climate-politics-and-environment-united-states-e8a8c99d7fa53d8138660cdd6028ec7b

8

New Theories / Re: An essay in futility, too long to read :)

« on: Today at 09:01:17 »

And this

" President Joe Biden’s order to protect the nation’s oldest forests against climate change, wildfires and other problems devastating vast woodlands is raising a simple yet vexing question: When does a forest grow old? Millions of acres are potentially on the line — federal land that could eventually get new protections or remain open to logging as the administration decides which trees to count under Biden’s order covering “old growth” and “mature” forests. Underlining the urgency of the issue are wildfires in California that killed thousands of giant sequoias in recent years.

Experts say there’s no simple formula to determine what’s old: Growth rates among different tree types vary greatly — and even within species, depending on their access to water and sunlight and soil conditions. Any definitions for old-growth or mature trees adopted by the Biden’s administration are “going to be subjective,” said Mark Ashton, a forestry professor at the Yale School of the Environment. "

https://apnews.com/article/climate-wildfires-biden-science-55681a114dda3151202efbe58dcd3b41

9

New Theories / Re: An essay in futility, too long to read :)

« on: Today at 08:59:35 »

We can connect it to this

" As climate change-fueled megadrought edges eastward, Nebraska’s Republican-controlled Legislature this year voted to move forward with a plan that stunned Colorado state leaders. The Cornhusker State wants to divert water in Colorado by invoking an obscure, 99-year-old compact between the states that allows Nebraska to seize Colorado land along the South Platte River to build a canal. "

https://apnews.com/article/climate-colorado-river-droughts-8948b3bc74335b94ba86fd9f3b631e02

10

New Theories / Re: An essay in futility, too long to read :)

« on: Today at 08:58:06 »

Let's see, those have something together.

" This year, Colorado State, the University of Arizona and Accuweather are all forecasting a busier-than-average hurricane season. Kenneth Graham, director of the National Hurricane Center, frequently points out that the United States has had more category 4 and 5 hurricanes make landfall from 2017 to 2021 than from 1963 to 2016. "

https://apnews.com/article/climate-wildfires-biden-science-55681a114dda3151202efbe58dcd3b41

" Kodama said the winter wet season was the 12th driest in the last 30 years and that without a major storm that dumped most of the season’s rain in just a couple weeks, it would have been worse. “It was a wild wet season to say the least, we had a lot of extremes,” Kodama said. In January, ”the tap turned off and stayed that way all the way through March.”

He said that going into the summer dry season Hawaii is expected to remain in severe to extreme drought conditions and that the state’s wildfire season could get an earlier than normal start. Climate change has increased drought conditions across the Western U.S. and in Hawaii. "

https://apnews.com/article/climate-science-hawaii-weather-patterns-200c376284eb2ff853bf7e75b143d15e

11

New Theories / Re: An essay in futility, too long to read :)

« on: Yesterday at 23:03:16 »

Because I think our 'global' GDP only points one way from now. It will behave like that climate curve Scripps describe, with ups and downs, but the trend will be downwards and accelerating the longer we play this game.

12

New Theories / Re: An essay in futility, too long to read :)

« on: Yesterday at 22:54:20 »

If we take the time for constructing a new nuclear power plant I've seen the time span for it stretching between three to ?  I think some thirty years as a worst case example. I guess it should at least, with planning and all, take 4 to 5 years as some median? And then you need a consensus on that we need them, before anything like that will happen. So let's say around 7 to 10 years? And we're already losing this decade. And the longer people think that this earth still can be treated as if it was infinite, with a infinite amount of 'cheap' resources as rare earths, plastic composites etc, being no problem, and economically viable, the longer it will take.

13

New Theories / Re: An essay in futility, too long to read :)

« on: Yesterday at 22:36:15 »

I would say that climate science has been trying too hard, and too long, to be 'scientific' about this. It's time to panic a little, if I'm right in those two decades being what we have left. I don't like it myself and I would dearly want to extend it to three, or more. But I wouldn't be honest if I did.

14

New Theories / Re: An essay in futility, too long to read :)

« on: Yesterday at 22:29:08 »

Let's hope they do, Alan. :)

You could make a argument for us staying on the fence, being 'scientific' about those uncertainties involved in any type of prediction.. And it makes sense, unless that option becomes one leading us to a extinction. Swimming a river filled with crocodiles stating that as you haven't seen any it should be okay is a pretty dumb option. Because if you're wrong..

15

New Theories / Re: An essay in futility, too long to read :)

« on: Yesterday at 10:51:15 »

In the end it becomes a final verdict. Of us. If we can't change.

failed

16

New Theories / Re: An essay in futility, too long to read :)

« on: Yesterday at 10:49:59 »

What we can do, as no solution cover it all and becomes perfectly 'green' is to minimize the need for those materials, f.ex good public transportation combined with a ban on personal transportation. It would mean us rearranging all infra structures. You can look to 'developing countries' for ideas of how this might work out, and we can make them even better using AI. But there is this window of opportunity for it, the one you're squandering away.

two decades.

17

New Theories / Re: An essay in futility, too long to read :)

« on: Yesterday at 10:42:47 »

The sore point is that without destroying it you will go extinct.

18

New Theories / Re: An essay in futility, too long to read :)

« on: Yesterday at 10:41:44 »

There is no democracy. Mr Putin is perfectly correct on that one, at any side. And Mr Trump is perfectly correct in warning you about letting democracy come into existence.

It would destroy the game.

19

New Theories / Re: An essay in futility, too long to read :)

« on: Yesterday at 10:32:27 »

Don't blame them, blame yourself.

20

New Theories / Re: An essay in futility, too long to read :)

« on: Yesterday at 10:31:59 »

The ones with the most to lose on a change, promising you change, right?