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Who else finds comfort in knowing life has no meaning or purpose, and there’s nothing after death?https://twitter.com/katebizosauthor/status/1560217874106662913?t=nRlr88YgGk8F73VPqbnGRA&s=19
Ray still asserts that computer artificial intelligence will pass the Turing Test in 2029 and the Singularity will happen around 2045. In the past, Ray has clarified that his predictions date are usually with an implied plus or minus one decade. A Ray Kurzweil prediction with a date can be plus or minus 10 years and Ray would consider it a good prediction.
A technological singularity is sufficient implementation of a new technology that will begin to make such irreversibly huge changes in human society that it is difficult, if not impossible, to foresee what will come after. Each one usually appears in about half the time it took for the one to occur after the one previous to it. Bear in mind that singularities aren’t events like light switches but, instead, can span a substantial period of time.PAST SINGULARITIES (3 most recent)1815 – The Industrial Revolution (240 years after printing press)1935 – Electronics & Computers (120 years after previous)1995 – World Wide Web (60 years after previous)FUTURE SINGULARITIES2025: Full Automation (Cognition based) capital-based income grows hugely and in inverse proportion to wage-based earnings as a percentage of all earnings. (30 years after previous)2040: AI – More than just AI, this is SI, synthetic intelligence, in that it is not a workaround to achieve results similar to what a human could produce, this is the real deal, it’s just not made of animal flesh and it might not have any internal motivations (no lizard brain conflict) (15 years after previous)2047: Biological (advancements that make average lifespan estimates useless) (7.5 years after previous)2050: Mind-to-Mind? Man-Machine? Nano replacement of cells? (3.25 years after previous)2052: Singularity (with a capital S) (1.6 years after previous)2053: … in 1.3 years2053: …. 7 months2053: ….. 14 weeks2053: …… 7 weeks2053: ……. 24 days2053: …….. 12 days2053: ……… 6 days2053: ……. 3 days2053: …….. 36 hours2053: ……… 18 hours“Life moves pretty fast. If you don’t stop and look around once in a while, you could miss it.”— Ferris Bueller
Some pleasures are good as shortcut to make decisions. It just happens that individuals seek for pleasure had better chance to survive, compared to those who don't, or those whose sources of pleasure are misplaced.
https://arbital.com/p/terminal_vs_instrumental/#:~:text=%27Instrumental%20goals%27%20or%20%27instrumental,want%20to%20drive%20somewhere%20else.Terminal versus instrumental goals / values / preferenceswritten by Eliezer Yudkowsky (Dec 18, 2015)'Instrumental goals' or 'instrumental values' are things that an agent wants for the sake of achieving other things. For example, we might want to get into a car, not because we enjoy the act of opening car doors for their own sake, but because we want to drive somewhere else.'Terminal' goals, values, or preferences are those where the preference is derived locally rather than by looking at further or distant consequences. If you enjoy eating chocolate (and otherwise approve of this enjoyment, etcetera) then you aren't deriving your preference based on what you believe to be the further consequences of eating chocolate.Imagine reality as an enormous web of events, linked by cause and effect. "Terminal value" is usually local and be evaluated at a single event inside the graph; even if it's a nonlocal good thing, we'd evaluate it by evaluating the history up to some point, and then we'd have a chunk of definite goodness that would stand on its own no matter what happened later."Instrumental value" is a nonlocal property of an event, depending on its real or expected future, and contingent on that future; if you add up all the instrumental values on the graph, you don't get a meaningful sum because you may be double-counting some value.On a moral or ethical level, instrumental values are justified by appealing to their consequences, while terminal values are justified without appeal to their consequences.
https://arbital.com/p/frankena_goods/AI alignment domainWilliam Frankena's list of terminal values"Life, consciousness, and activity; health and strength; pleasures and satisfactions of all or certain kinds; happiness, beatitude, contentment, etc.; truth; knowledge and true opinions of various kinds, understanding, wisdom; beauty, harmony, proportion in objects contemplated; aesthetic experience; morally good dispositions or virtues; mutual affection, love, friendship, cooperation; just distribution of goods and evils; harmony and proportion in one's own life; power and experiences of achievement; self-expression; freedom; peace, security; adventure and novelty; and good reputation, honor, esteem, etc." -- William Frankena's list of things valued in themselves rather than only for their further consequences.
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/n5ucT5ZbPdhfGNLtP/terminal-values-and-instrumental-valuesOn a purely instinctive level, any human planner behaves as if they distinguish between means and ends. Want chocolate? There's chocolate at the Publix supermarket. You can get to the supermarket if you drive one mile south on Washington Ave. You can drive if you get into the car. You can get into the car if you open the door. You can open the door if you have your car keys. So you put your car keys into your pocket, and get ready to leave the house......when suddenly the word comes on the radio that an earthquake has destroyed all the chocolate at the local Publix. Well, there's no point in driving to the Publix if there's no chocolate there, and no point in getting into the car if you're not driving anywhere, and no point in having car keys in your pocket if you're not driving. So you take the car keys out of your pocket, and call the local pizza service and have them deliver a chocolate pizza. Mm, delicious.I rarely notice people losing track of plans they devised themselves. People usually don't drive to the supermarket if they know the chocolate is gone. But I've also noticed that when people begin explicitly talking about goal systems instead of just wanting things, mentioning "goals" instead of using them, they oft become confused. Humans are experts at planning, not experts on planning, or there'd be a lot more AI developers in the world.In particularly, I've noticed people get confused when - in abstract philosophical discussions rather than everyday life - they consider the distinction between means and ends; more formally, between "instrumental values" and "terminal values".
Instrumental values live in (the network structure of) the conditional probability function. This makes instrumental value strictly dependent on beliefs-of-fact given a fixed utility function. If I believe that penicillin causes pneumonia, and that the absence of penicillin cures pneumonia, then my perceived instrumental value of penicillin will go from high to low. Change the beliefs of fact - change the conditional probability function that associates actions to believed consequences - and the instrumental values will change in unison.
After finding that the universal terminal goal is to extend the existence of consciousness into the future
Quote from: hamdani yusuf on 25/11/2022 08:34:05After finding that the universal terminal goal is to extend the existence of consciousness into the futureYou have not found that is the universal terminal goal, you have assumed that is the universal terminal goal.I would like to see you supply a succinct definition of "universal terminal goal".
The Phantom God: What Neuroscience Reveals about the Compulsion to Believe (with Dr. John Wathey)
Quote from: hamdani yusuf on 30/11/2022 13:43:14The Phantom God: What Neuroscience Reveals about the Compulsion to Believe (with Dr. John Wathey)Not a good start. There is sometimes a need to act on incomplete evidence, but no inherent compulsion.
here it is.Defining consciousness as the core concept in the universal terminal goal using only the requirements from the phrase and some basic knowledge of computational process.
//www.youtube.com/watch?v=7L9aNBxPk-ohere it is.Defining consciousness as the core concept in the universal terminal goal using only the requirements from the phrase and some basic knowledge of computational process.
My next video will describe how functionalities and key parameters required for consciousness can emerge from natural processes.
//www.youtube.com/watch?v=oDvzbBRiNlAWhy do things exist? Setting the stage for evolution.This video kicks off the evolution series by going broad and thinking about why things - including non-living things - exist at all. The first in a series on evolution.
Hydrothermal vents in deep ocean rifts have generated a lot of excitement as the starting place for life on our planet. Hydrothermal vents represent a dynamic environment which would favor the formation of organic compounds, the “molecules of life,” using simple chemicals in the early oceans. Most recently, scientists have gained insight into the creation of the cell membrane—a structure common to all life forms. Hydrothermal vents may be present in the oceans of moons or rocky planets in our solar system, for example Europa and Enceladus, raising the possibility that life may have started there too.