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quote:Originally posted by roarerWell AS..it seems that you are not assured that there would be a world war..let alone who would be the warring countries. And I am not surprised.
quote:We are discussing this issue....whilst we overlooked a very important aspect of world occurance which may have a deterrent against the commencement of a world war....that of globalisation.As far as I can understand....globalisation permits countries to INVEST in each other's financial infrastructure. I believe that every country on the planet is involved. Now as I see it.....say for example...the USA has millions of dollars of INVESTMENT in China and vice versa...I would be very much surprised that China and the USA would start a war between them....which would have the potential of destroying millions of dollars of investments in each of those countries. And so forth with other countries.Now I am not a scientist. I am not a graduate of any University....I am just a Secondary School graduate...and a Clerk by trade..if you can call it a trade.....but that is the way I see it.
quote:Originally posted by VAlibrarianClearly I do not share the convictions of many on this page regarding the nature of future disasters. WW3 seems less likely than other scenarios for serious human tough times. I do not see an obvious motive for a major power such as USA, Europe, or China to initiate a nuclear exchange. The logic of MAD still holds as far as I can tell. Possible for a second rate power such as Pakistan, Iran, or North Korea to bring it on by using a nuke and miscalculating the obvious result? Possible, but it seems that many of these nations do crave to join the nuclear club for defensive reasons- to eliminate the possibility that USA will deal with them as it dealt with Iraq.
quote:To me, however, the chance of economic turmoil, famine, mass migrations, etc., as a result of resource depletion or environmental disaster or feverish competition for decreasing resources is a possible recipe for a very tough time.
quote:The fact is that we are on course for this to happen, UNLESS we can avoid it through scientific discovery, international cooperation, etc.
quote:Okay, what if you put the two together and say, WW3 will happen when competition for scarce resources on a degraded planet combines with a miscalculation and someone hits the red button. But if that's your theory, you are saying that scarce resources and environmental factors will cause WW3.