If I want to be totally honest I think we will be on that road in thirty to forty years. 2100 is what climate scientists use as a nice round number, comparing scenarios. And you will definitely be on it by then, but myself I expect it to start somewhere 2050 to 60.
Then we have Brazil. You just need to change the laws and voila, anything becomes 'legal'.
" Riot police have fired teargas and rubber bullets at indigenous activists protesting outside Brazil’s congress against new legislation that would undermine legal protections for indigenous territories, and open them up to commercial agriculture and mining. "
A little like those indigenous villages that didn't have the documents proving their ownership to the land they've been situated on, although in that case those laws already existed, just waiting to be used
" Boris Johnson’s government has set “historic” targets on the climate crisis but has failed so far to come up with the policies needed to reach them, the government’s independent advisers on the climate have warned.
The Climate Change Committee published two progress reports on Thursday, showing the UK lagging behind on its key goal of 78% cuts to greenhouse gases by 2035 and making recommendations on how to get back on track. "
" “We were led down the garden path … We got to December believing that the whole world was coming together to purchase vaccines, not knowing that we had been corralled into a little corner while others ran off and secured the supplies.”
He said that when he met vaccine manufacturers in December, he was told that all production capacity for 2021 had been sold. “So, the people who bought the vaccines and those who sold them the vaccines, knew that there would be nothing for us,” he said. "
" When asked by the Guardian where it planned to obtain water, Adani’s response included an internal email between a staff member and its Australian chief executive, Lucas Dow, which appeared to be sent in error. “I suggest we do not give him anything more than what is already on the public record from us,” the Adani employee says.
“They are clearly struggling to work out where we are getting our water, so I don’t think we give them any further clarity. "
" The donations came as the government deliberated the future development of the UK’s lucrative oil and gas fields in the North Sea. A review was formally opened last September and then on 24 March came the announcement of a new round of licensing for oil and gas wells, with up to £16bn in joint investment between the government and private sector, despite the likely negative impact of such development on the UK’s climate targets.
The UK is to host a vital UN summit, Cop26, in Glasgow this November, at which all countries will be asked to come up with stringent targets on cutting greenhouse gas emissions in the next decade, and to make an urgent transition away from fossil fuels to renewable energy and low-carbon economies. Cop26 is widely regarded as one of the last chances to put the world on track to meet the 2015 Paris climate agreement, in a “make-or-break” decade for the climate. "
Told you I was going to set a extinction date, didn't I? Just wanted to see what G7 and Cop26 would produce. Well, G7 was a failure, and I expect Cop26 to be a joke. So I'll use my pointy hat here and state that somewhere between 2100 and 2300 we will be firmly and irrecoverably on the road to extinction, if we didn't meet a nuclear war before it. What that means is that your civilization has broken down, and so have your wallets. And Earth.
I have to remark on this though? " In the two years since the last State of the Climate report we have lived through 2019, the hottest year on record, which produced one of the worst fire seasons we have ever seen. "
One of the worst? Wasn't it the worst?
" The bushfires burned more than 46 million acres (72,000 square miles) – roughly the same area as the entire country of Syria. "
And it seems as if it is more important than what's been expected.
" This means, that the uncertainties in predictions of the future climate may to a large degree depend on how climate models predict changes in the overturning circulation in the North Atlantic.
Thus, the result challenges the previous understanding of mechanisms controlling climate change over the North Atlantic, in which parameterizations of the atmosphere have been suspected to cause the main part of the uncertainty. "
So the AMOC ( the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation ) is at its lowest in a thousand years today. It's a 'heat pump' and also what transports nutrients and oxygen.
" "The Gulf Stream System works like a giant conveyor belt, carrying warm surface water from the equator up north, and sending cold, low-salinity deep water back down south. It moves nearly 20 million cubic meters of water per second, almost 100 times the Amazon flow," "
What you're planning to do today may even break earths projections of sustainability. Ten million years is the figure we've seen geologically, looking at extinction events, but once you're finished with our oceans that figure might be too short. Planet killers in more ways than one.
" According to the 2020 global Living Planet Index, between 1970 and 2016, there was a 68% fall in monitored populations of mammals, birds, amphibians, reptiles and fish. "That is a huge loss in biodiversity, and it's alarming," Francesconi added. "Now is the time to come together and help implement measures to reduce this detrimental loss, especially in light of potentially devastating added impacts that climate change can unfold over the next 50—100 years if we do not take action." "
And 10 million years for earth to repair it. You probably able to exist at most one million years, ideally. Not as it looks today though.