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The Environment / Re: What criteria would be required to refute man-made climate change?
« on: 06/06/2016 00:21:28 »
One way to refute man made climate change is to explain how the magic trick works. If you went to a magic show and the audience saw someone levitate, it will be hard to convince people it did not happen, unless you can show how the trick works.
There are several aspects to the man made climate change magic trick. One aspect is connected to hyped fear. For example, when an airliner crashes (beyond terrorism), there will be a lot of media hype and endless expert analysis. After listening to this for several days, many people begin to assume all air travel is at risk. Politicians will cater to the fear insisting something needs to be done, industry wide. The induced fear and hype, reinforce by the actions of leadership, will cloud judgment. This fear is the house lights being dimmed for the magic trick. All the doom and gloom predictions, connected to man made global warming, that never panned out was the house lights dimming. It did not matter if this happened or not, the goal was the fear. Those who got the fear bug, will not care if the bogeyman did not show, since he is out there.
Another aspect of the magic trick is connected to semantics. When they say this is the warmest summer on record, science only has good weather data for about 150 years, tops, even though the earth is 6 billion years old. Yet the term, on record, is often interpreted by the fearful, to mean the entire life of the earth. Nobody who performs this magic trick will ever clarify this.
This distraction blends into the next aspect of the illusion. We generate more weather data, today, than any time in history of weather data collection. More data makes it look like more is happening. From a satellite, you can see weather in remote areas where data was never collected. This counts as manmade change, since nothing there could be substantiated, to prove otherwise.
If we needed to look at the weather from 200 years ago, there is little if any direct data to use. Even if this was the worse in 500 years, it is still not the worse on record, since officials records are 150 years old. Due too the scarcity of the hard direction data, one may need to rely on indirect data, like tree rings to give us a clue of what happened. This can tell us the annual averages, but you can't see day to day like we record today. The result is there is more climate change today, based on a hard data.
Here is an experiment we can do in schools. This is the magic trick. We will have a group of students observe and record, with their cell phone cameras, any bird or squirrel they see, during one month of time. When all the data is compiled, we will tell them there are more birds and squirrels in that area, now, that in any anytime in history.
Technically, the students will have recorded more hard data than any skeptic can produce, for any other time in history, for that area. The claim of more birds and squirrels, although unsubstantiated and probably not true, will be hard to disprove, especially since anyone who denies my claim, will not be able to provide as much hard evidence as the students. We then make fun of the skeptics so they don't spoil the trick.
To help my claim along, I will use fear to dim the house lights. I tell them that bird and squirrel droppings can cause disease. This is the distraction needed to get others to fixate on birds and droppings so thy start to observe and see more than they ever noticed before. The fear will require something be done, with the school now making a big deal about cleaning the sidewalks. This will reinforce the fear, due to remediation being employed.
.
There are several aspects to the man made climate change magic trick. One aspect is connected to hyped fear. For example, when an airliner crashes (beyond terrorism), there will be a lot of media hype and endless expert analysis. After listening to this for several days, many people begin to assume all air travel is at risk. Politicians will cater to the fear insisting something needs to be done, industry wide. The induced fear and hype, reinforce by the actions of leadership, will cloud judgment. This fear is the house lights being dimmed for the magic trick. All the doom and gloom predictions, connected to man made global warming, that never panned out was the house lights dimming. It did not matter if this happened or not, the goal was the fear. Those who got the fear bug, will not care if the bogeyman did not show, since he is out there.
Another aspect of the magic trick is connected to semantics. When they say this is the warmest summer on record, science only has good weather data for about 150 years, tops, even though the earth is 6 billion years old. Yet the term, on record, is often interpreted by the fearful, to mean the entire life of the earth. Nobody who performs this magic trick will ever clarify this.
This distraction blends into the next aspect of the illusion. We generate more weather data, today, than any time in history of weather data collection. More data makes it look like more is happening. From a satellite, you can see weather in remote areas where data was never collected. This counts as manmade change, since nothing there could be substantiated, to prove otherwise.
If we needed to look at the weather from 200 years ago, there is little if any direct data to use. Even if this was the worse in 500 years, it is still not the worse on record, since officials records are 150 years old. Due too the scarcity of the hard direction data, one may need to rely on indirect data, like tree rings to give us a clue of what happened. This can tell us the annual averages, but you can't see day to day like we record today. The result is there is more climate change today, based on a hard data.
Here is an experiment we can do in schools. This is the magic trick. We will have a group of students observe and record, with their cell phone cameras, any bird or squirrel they see, during one month of time. When all the data is compiled, we will tell them there are more birds and squirrels in that area, now, that in any anytime in history.
Technically, the students will have recorded more hard data than any skeptic can produce, for any other time in history, for that area. The claim of more birds and squirrels, although unsubstantiated and probably not true, will be hard to disprove, especially since anyone who denies my claim, will not be able to provide as much hard evidence as the students. We then make fun of the skeptics so they don't spoil the trick.
To help my claim along, I will use fear to dim the house lights. I tell them that bird and squirrel droppings can cause disease. This is the distraction needed to get others to fixate on birds and droppings so thy start to observe and see more than they ever noticed before. The fear will require something be done, with the school now making a big deal about cleaning the sidewalks. This will reinforce the fear, due to remediation being employed.
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