And if that change comes to be, then we also will be able to phase out nuclear power. Because there is a limit to the pollution earth can withstand, and that is connected to our population increase. This is presuming no new marvelous 'clean' energy sources comes to be. I build it on what we have, not what we wish for.
But that phasing out also will build on you changing, our infra structures changing, our industries and this whole game of inequality.
If that doesn't happen we have more 'black swans' coming for us.
I think the conclusion is inevitable. Whatever we use for energy will add to global warming, and if so then you will have to look for the 'cleanest' alternative. Nuclear power brings with it its own type of danger and pollution, as shown by Three Mile Island, Chernobyl and Fukushima. But there is this alternative called molten salt reactors, and it doesn't add to the CO2 other than marginally, as far as I understand. In the choice between a hard place and a rock I would take that alternative, for the moment being.
Because if you really want to change, you need to look at the population, you need to look at the infra structures, ideals and beliefs. You need to look at yourself..
Humanity has a imaginary momentum all of its own. That momentum driven by base instincts, as greed, ignorance, hubris and egoism, combined with what ideals and beliefs your country, population, circle of peers, formal and informal 'networks', friends and relatives, gossip and conspiracy theories, all add up.
We're hastening it above all expectations. I still haven't seen a study combing those effects with the latest climate models, and I don't think you will see one. The consequences when combining it will just look too bad.
The point is that we've had a lot of 'unforeseen' effect those last years. Wild fires f.ex, and I still wonder about our migrations, especially the oceans. Phytoplankton .fex? Oxygen, and then we have Siberia and their mires and peat bogs. We can't just look at that though, we need to put it into perspective with our own greed, hubris egoism and ignorance, as f.ex the Amazon forest burning. and then we add top soil, mono plantations, forest industries and 'bio mass', 'Natural gas' use increasing, water and ground water.
They are all models and in that mean educated guesses, building on the facts known today as well as of what we painstakingly still are learning. We can't really use history to extrapolate our future from. We're doing something this planet never did. We're digging up million years of fossils and shooting them into the air.
Ever heard of Africa? Yes, it's one of those far away places on this earth. California are meeting global warming now, as is Oregon. Africa does it too.
" According to the International Panel on Climate Change as well as the Global Change Institute at the University of the Witwatersrand in South Africa, temperatures in southern Africa could hit 5-6 degrees Celsius by century’s end based on global emissions. For context, the global community is trying to keep temperature increases to 2 degrees Celsius by mid-century. "
They've been hit by droughts, and now floods for several years. " The number of climate-related disasters, including extreme heat, droughts, floods and storms, has doubled since the early 1990s, says the UN, with an average of 213 of these events occurring every year during the period of 1990–2016. "
" “Trump is really, really good at playing conspiracy theories,” Butter says. “He uses them as a safety net for himself. He is very good at not really being pinned down to them. He is always introducing them saying, ‘I hear a lot’, ‘people tell me all the time’, ‘a lot of people are saying that’. This makes sure that conspiracy theories are constantly reported, are constantly in the public sphere and this in turn [may fuel] cultural representations.” "
That doesn't only go for Mr Trump, does it? Isn't that the way you spread them too?