The first equation represents 4 aces in a standard deck of 52 cards an x-axis

the second equation represents 52 random top cards (Y) from 52 decks , showing that y only has a 20.3% chance of containing 4 aces and being even to X.

Some people have understand my poker theory and it looks like I might be correct after all.

Thank you for confirming the maths. Alan's link lead me to the maths I needed, an auto correlation link that lead me to cross correlation and Time series analysis.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cross-correlationI think they used this but for 52 rather than 100 -

[tex]P(k) = \left(\frac{4}{52}\right)^k \times \left(1-\frac{4}{52}\right)^{100-k} \frac{100!}{k!(100-k)!}[/tex]