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Quote from: Petrochemicals on 16/01/2021 09:00:08QuoteInterestingly, the current value for London is lower than any other statistical region, but we mustn't let facts cloud a good rant, must we?]Evidently notCurrent best estimates of RLondon East Midland NE/Yorks NW SE SW1.1 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.1 1.4
QuoteInterestingly, the current value for London is lower than any other statistical region, but we mustn't let facts cloud a good rant, must we?]Evidently not
Interestingly, the current value for London is lower than any other statistical region, but we mustn't let facts cloud a good rant, must we?]
Quote from: Petrochemicals on 16/01/2021 09:00:08your answer belies the fact that it is still increasing Date R London11/12 1.018/12 1.223/12 1.408/01 1.315/01 1.1looks to me as though it increased when lockdown was lifted, and is now decreasing. These figures obviously underestimate the decrease because they are necessarily retrospective: the number published each Friday represents what actually happened in the previous 7 days. But then I have the political disadvantage of being numerate.
your answer belies the fact that it is still increasing
Quote infections usually dip over holiday periods and pick up afterwards I know of no data that supports your argument. We know that reported deaths decrease during short holiday periods and spike immediately afterwards, because registries close for public holidays and publish numbers for the dates that the reports are filed, not the reported date of death.
infections usually dip over holiday periods and pick up afterwards
All the current evidence and knowledge gained since the days of Pasteur and Semmelweiss suggests that infections increase during holidays because people travel and meet. But then I'm only a clinical scientist - what do I know about clinical science?
the bit above contradicts the bit below
Although it sort of happened this September,
the R number means increase if over one
Your answer once more is deceptive and diversive.
The fact being that the infection rate in the Capital where Christmas was shut to movement, after 5 weeks is still above R1, its not even descending, so they don't need parachutes just yet.
Quote from: Petrochemicals on 17/01/2021 03:44:23The fact being that the infection rate in the Capital where Christmas was shut to movement, after 5 weeks is still above R1, its not even descending, so they don't need parachutes just yet.See Reply # 16 above, or give us your definition of "descending". Please note that Trumpian mathematics and language become officially invalid on 20 January.
Ah! I see your problem. Reading back through a few posts, you don't understand the meaning of "it". Easily fixed. The pronoun refers to the last previously mentioned neuter entity. AFAIK this is a pretty common convention in all European languages, and really quite important in science and medicine.
The same experts also suggested that the national R rate - the the average number of people each infected person passes the disease onto - is 1.04, meaning the epidemic is still increasing in size
A mickey takewww.bbc.com/news/amp/uk-55843506https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/29january2021#number-of-people-in-england-who-had-covid-19
Government learns how to deal with corona from film
It's clearly time to depose the corrupt and incompetent government by force. Problem is, what do we want? Anyone with an IQ exceeding 100 wants a full quarantine until we have no new COVID cases for a month, and continuing quarantine for all travellers until the rest of the world cleans up its act. According to the newspapers written for those with an IQ below 100, the other half want to go to pubs, festivals and Ibiza 'cos it ain't right to deprive us of our liberty and we all have mental health issues and kids need to be bullied at school. So a clean coup will descend into civil war just like it always does on the telly.