281
Cells, Microbes & Viruses / Re: Are 85 Covid-19 deaths ON AVERAGE a day per 60 milllion a reason to PANIC?
« on: 04/05/2020 20:10:32 »
Well nearly finished as we will still get little peaks as cities and care homes become infected. But governments must prioritise in doing what is for the common good and support the economy so our standard of living is maintained. Study the government statistics as follows :-
The Office of National Statistics issues figures for deaths in the UK. These show that in March this year 49,723 people died. The number that died in March 2019 was only 43,946 so we can see that some 6,000 extra people died presumably of the Covid19 virus during last month or about 200 per day. Assuming the average stay for Covid19 patients could be around a week for people under retirement age as typified by the PM
NHS sitrep report shows the number of available Intensive care beds in UK for February was 4,122 of which 3,359 were occupied leaving 763 spare which would be sufficient if the government issues an edit stating that people over retirement age should self isolate, as if they fall ill there is no guarantee that a ICU bed will be available as NHS have been instructed to prioritise ICU beds for young and working age patients. So it looks like the Nightingale beds may never need to be used if a vaccine becomes available quickly.
Thus, the children and working population can return to work but maintain social distancing. To stop overcrowding in the rush hour only shops, businesses and factories that are prepared to adopt a 2 shift system should be allowed to open in town/city centres. By adopting a shift system of 7am to 2pm and 1pm to 8pm we can split the travel peak into 3 parts but probably still insist on the wearing of a mask where passengers are within a metre of someone else,
The Office of National Statistics issues figures for deaths in the UK. These show that in March this year 49,723 people died. The number that died in March 2019 was only 43,946 so we can see that some 6,000 extra people died presumably of the Covid19 virus during last month or about 200 per day. Assuming the average stay for Covid19 patients could be around a week for people under retirement age as typified by the PM
NHS sitrep report shows the number of available Intensive care beds in UK for February was 4,122 of which 3,359 were occupied leaving 763 spare which would be sufficient if the government issues an edit stating that people over retirement age should self isolate, as if they fall ill there is no guarantee that a ICU bed will be available as NHS have been instructed to prioritise ICU beds for young and working age patients. So it looks like the Nightingale beds may never need to be used if a vaccine becomes available quickly.
Thus, the children and working population can return to work but maintain social distancing. To stop overcrowding in the rush hour only shops, businesses and factories that are prepared to adopt a 2 shift system should be allowed to open in town/city centres. By adopting a shift system of 7am to 2pm and 1pm to 8pm we can split the travel peak into 3 parts but probably still insist on the wearing of a mask where passengers are within a metre of someone else,