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COVID-19 / What do you make of this paper?
« on: 05/05/2021 02:06:35 »
https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/0300891620974755?url_ver=Z39.88-2003&rfr_id=ori%3Arid%3Acrossref.org&rfr_dat=cr_pub++0pubmed&
More than 8% of the samples from the first week in september 2019 had CoV2 antibodies. If that were representative of the whole country, then 5 million Italians would have had covid by then, 23 doublings from the first case. Obviously, from the rest of the data, the regions where the first samples were taken isn't representative of the whole country. But in some places it was well established by the beginning of september.
More than 8% of the samples from the first week in september 2019 had CoV2 antibodies. If that were representative of the whole country, then 5 million Italians would have had covid by then, 23 doublings from the first case. Obviously, from the rest of the data, the regions where the first samples were taken isn't representative of the whole country. But in some places it was well established by the beginning of september.