climate patterns and statistics

  • 3 Replies
  • 3402 Views

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

*

Offline yor_on

  • Naked Science Forum GOD!
  • *******
  • 12351
  • (Ah, yes:) *a table is always good to hide under*
    • View Profile
climate patterns and statistics
« on: 15/09/2010 18:40:18 »
"BOMB DISPOSAL EXPERT. If you see me running, try to keep up."

*

Offline LeeE

  • Neilep Level Member
  • ******
  • 3382
    • View Profile
    • Spatial
climate patterns and statistics
« Reply #1 on: 17/09/2010 01:09:32 »
It certainly raises a valid issue.

I think the best illustration of how causality in statistics can be misinterpreted, that I've heard of, was the hypothetical one that looked at the percentage of tea-drinkers in gaol, which implied that because > 98% of the inmates drank tea, the most common factor in committing crimes was the consumption of tea.
...And its claws are as big as cups, and for some reason it's got a tremendous fear of stamps! And Mrs Doyle was telling me it's got magnets on its tail, so if you're made out of metal it can attach itself to you! And instead of a mouth it's got four arses!

*

Offline Geezer

  • Neilep Level Member
  • ******
  • 8328
  • "Vive la rÚsistance!"
    • View Profile
climate patterns and statistics
« Reply #2 on: 17/09/2010 04:44:33 »
It certainly raises a valid issue.

I think the best illustration of how causality in statistics can be misinterpreted, that I've heard of, was the hypothetical one that looked at the percentage of tea-drinkers in gaol, which implied that because > 98% of the inmates drank tea, the most common factor in committing crimes was the consumption of tea.

Oi! Is you saying I'm a tea leaf then?
There ain'ta no sanity clause, and there ain'ta no centrifugal force Šther.

*

Offline yor_on

  • Naked Science Forum GOD!
  • *******
  • 12351
  • (Ah, yes:) *a table is always good to hide under*
    • View Profile
climate patterns and statistics
« Reply #3 on: 18/09/2010 12:16:03 »
Thank God I bought me some coffee :)
Eh, that is safe I hope?

One more thing to worry about :)
"BOMB DISPOSAL EXPERT. If you see me running, try to keep up."