Total Members Voted: 4
Voting closed: 25/02/2007 01:13:16
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I would have said that definitely the developed countries have the technology to adapt, as long as we don't collapse politically or get drawn into unpleasent wars. It could get very nasty in the third world though, and many will probably die of famine. I have a couple of degrees if that is useful
Famines, as I understand it, are more likely in cold dry climates than in hot wet climates.
I'd also like to known your profession and/or related education. Just to see whether there is a correlation between people's presumed ability to judge the issue, and the conclusions they come to.
QuoteFamines, as I understand it, are more likely in cold dry climates than in hot wet climates.This is true at the moment, mostly due to the fact that the northern countries are affluent and stable enough to be able to over produce food most of the time and buy in food if the harvest fails, however millions of people died 3-400 years ago in european famines when you got a particularly wet summer so nothing ripened.
It has been suggested that the black death was related to damp summers, allowing the fungus ergot to grow on rye harvests. The Ergot depresses your immune system (along with various psycological effects) and will let the bacteria get hold and kill you.
I agree that climate change won't necessarily be bad for the global production of food in the long run, as some areas will probbaly become more, and others less productive. However the moving of the productive areas, will mean that there are a lot of subsistance farmers in the wrong part of the world, and the areas which have become more productive, may not be very keen on huge numbers of immigrants...