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There are not too many scients that disagree with the facts for climate change. Contary to popular, Non-US based, opinions one of the leaders in technology and laws to combat climate change is The US!Even presiden Bush, is now coming "in from the cold". One thing i do have a personal problem with is the push towards bio-fuels, for many reasons.One being that great amounts of food based crops will be used, when countries can hardly afford to grow the food for the populous to eat.Which counter are you in, why me why now?
You may find this interesting:The Coalition's "25x'25" alliance has adopted a vision that, "by 2025, America's farms, forests, and ranches will provide 25 percent of the total energy consumed in the United States, while continuing to produce safe, abundant, and a?ordable food, feed and ?ber." The Coalition says the 25x'25 vision is one of many recent calls for the United States to expand its reliance on renewable energy. In his 2006 State of the Union address, President George W. Bush stated goals for increasing the use of biomass fuels in transportation and curbing oil imports. Without waiting for federal action, 20 states and the District of Columbia, meanwhile, have set targets for increasing the use of renewable electricity technologies with renewable energy portfolios that require a percentage of a state's power to be generated by renewables. Significant reductions in carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuel combustion also can be achieved by meeting the 25x'25 goal, the study found – amounting to one billion tons of carbon dioxide in 2025, or 15 percent of projected U.S. emissions. For more info, check out http://www.25x25.org/index.php [nofollow]
Quote from: paul.fr on 12/03/2007 10:34:28that is interesting - thanks..However I'm sure if i spend 10 minutes looking, i will find lots of writing decrying all that stuff...It's most frustrating. I;m sure that's why so many people don;t care about this stuff...we just don;t know what to believe anymore
Quote from: why me why now on 12/03/2007 10:48:02Quote from: paul.fr on 12/03/2007 10:34:28that is interesting - thanks..However I'm sure if i spend 10 minutes looking, i will find lots of writing decrying all that stuff...It's most frustrating. I;m sure that's why so many people don;t care about this stuff...we just don;t know what to believe anymoreI suppose it's a matter of belief and like you say people being "bothered", maybe start a new topic and see what others have to say.You really need someone who is more eloquent with their words than i am to answer you questions.
Quote from: paul.fr on 12/03/2007 11:00:03Quote from: why me why now on 12/03/2007 10:48:02Quote from: paul.fr on 12/03/2007 10:34:28your words are great paul - i hope you don;t think i was implying otherwise out of interest - what do you believe? and what is it that gives you conviction, if anything?
Quote from: why me why now on 12/03/2007 10:48:02Quote from: paul.fr on 12/03/2007 10:34:28your words are great paul - i hope you don;t think i was implying otherwise out of interest - what do you believe? and what is it that gives you conviction, if anything?
Quote from: paul.fr on 12/03/2007 10:34:28
Quote from: why me why now on 12/03/2007 11:02:47Quote from: paul.fr on 12/03/2007 11:00:03Quote from: why me why now on 12/03/2007 10:48:02Quote from: paul.fr on 12/03/2007 10:34:28your words are great paul - i hope you don;t think i was implying otherwise out of interest - what do you believe? and what is it that gives you conviction, if anything?Not in the slightest, although i do tend to reply too quickly and my point gets lost in the poor construction. My beliefs! well the short answer is that we all need to do something, there are those who either don't because it's too much trouble to go to and those that can't be bothered, these are the majority. There are those that do what they can and then there are the zealots.As for the present and future governments of the UK, i think they just see the enviromental issue as a way of raising revenue. Do you believe the proposed green tax on air flights will be used for green energy or funding science? or used to shore up the holes in the govenments spending plans?Indeed - i se what you;re getting at..Although perhaps i disagree about people's motives for being inactive. I think it's in people's nature not to do anything until they are faced with an undeniable reality...The threat of terrorism / 911 is probably a good example of this.I think the confusion of information about the environment, combined with a lack of serious physical symptoms *on people's doorsteps* makes folk pretty ambivalent about the whole thing.I think people are waiting for the wake up call they normally expect when 'things get serious'. they trust in science and politics to provide this, and currently both are failing to deliver imo
Quote from: paul.fr on 12/03/2007 11:00:03Quote from: why me why now on 12/03/2007 10:48:02Quote from: paul.fr on 12/03/2007 10:34:28your words are great paul - i hope you don;t think i was implying otherwise out of interest - what do you believe? and what is it that gives you conviction, if anything?Not in the slightest, although i do tend to reply too quickly and my point gets lost in the poor construction. My beliefs! well the short answer is that we all need to do something, there are those who either don't because it's too much trouble to go to and those that can't be bothered, these are the majority. There are those that do what they can and then there are the zealots.As for the present and future governments of the UK, i think they just see the enviromental issue as a way of raising revenue. Do you believe the proposed green tax on air flights will be used for green energy or funding science? or used to shore up the holes in the govenments spending plans?
You may find this interesting:The Coalition's "25x'25" alliance has adopted a vision that, "by 2025, America's farms, forests, and ranches will provide 25 percent of the total energy consumed in the United States, while continuing to produce safe, abundant, and a?ordable food, feed and ?ber." The Coalition says the 25x'25 vision is one of many recent calls for the United States to expand its reliance on renewable energy. In his 2006 State of the Union address, President George W. Bush stated goals for increasing the use of biomass fuels in transportation and curbing oil imports. Without waiting for federal action, 20 states and the District of Columbia, meanwhile, have set targets for increasing the use of renewable electricity technologies with renewable energy portfolios that require a percentage of a state's power to be generated by renewables. Significant reductions in carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuel combustion also can be achieved by meeting the 25x'25 goal, the study found – amounting to one billion tons of carbon dioxide in 2025, or 15 percent of projected U.S. emissions. For more info, check out http://www.25x25.org/index.php
There are not too many scients that disagree with the facts for climate change.
One thing i do have a personal problem with is the push towards bio-fuels, for many reasons.One being that great amounts of food based crops will be used, when countries can hardly afford to grow the food for the populous to eat.
Funnily enough, only this morning on radio 4 (very straight faced BBC news-type radio channel), the leader of the conservative opposition party was defending his environment minister john redwood who apparently has put up a blog saying that climate change shouldn't taken too seriously - i'll see if i can find a link..
<parenthesis>mid you, this is the guy who made a total goon of himself when he was supposed to sing the welsh national anthem at a conference..so i'm not sure how seriously to take himlols//www.youtube.com/watch?v=RIwBvjoLyZc
How seriously you can take any politician, of any creed, is another matter; but judging him by the fact he feels uncomfortable singing in public is scarcely a valid judgement to make (and I don't claim to be a particular fan of Redwood's, but I do feel sorry for the predicament of a non-singer faced with that scenario).
What facts for climate change?That the climate is changing? It always has changed (just compare the climate of the 17th century with the climate of the 10th century, and you can see an argument for climate change, but it is a natural process).
This certainly is true for some countries, but is not directly true of the US and Europe, which at present seem to be closing down its farming sector as uneconomic, or dumping cheap food onto the third world, so undermining third world farmers (although this is happening less now, and we are now beginning to import foods from the third world).The greater arguments are more about land usage, and the energy used in farming and processing the biofuels.
Yes, i know the climate has always been changing. Although i do not understand your point.Are you saying that the climate has always changed and that it is just the natural process? and that mankind has not contributed to it?Prior to the industrial revolutionthe atmosphere is estimated to have contained 260 parts per million of carbon dioxide. Today it is 380 and it's estimated to rise to 550 by the middle of this centuary. is that just a natural process?
Wheather the push to more "green" technologies and fuel is driven by the dependency of governments on foreign oil or a genuine "concern for the environment" is a good argument, but does that matter?
Would the world be more secure if we were not dependant on oil imports from the middle east and Russia?
would the planet be healthier if we reduced our dependency on fossil fuels?
Ethanol for one, is mainly produced (in the US) by corn.Ethanol is a very heavy energy user, from the fertalising, planting, harvesting and transport costs.
I am no left wing, sandle wearing "green" but see a need for change.
Don't you just love estimates. Give me facts every time.That aside, in past geological times (and I am not talking about the days when most of the atmosphere was CO2), CO2 levels have been up to 2000 ppm. We simply do not know what drives the changes, and whether CO2 levels really are a cause of global warming, or a consequence of it (some geological evidence suggests the latter, although people are quick to point out that we lack precision in those records, but those people are just as willing to work with contemporary estimates as if they were known facts).
Yes, the difference does matter, because we need to know by what means we judge success of the policies we make. If we judge success by whether there is a future decline, or at least stabilisation, of global temperatures, or whether we judge success by a reduction in strategic economic dependencies.There are also going to be some measures that will help one objective but not the other, but even where the same measure would help both objectives, if we use the wrong measure of success, then we may regard as success or failure that which in fact is the converse the some other measure.One particular area where the two objectives diverge is in the use of coal as a fuel and chemical feedstock. Despite the fact that we have effectively shut down our coal mining industry as being uncompetitive at the current exchange rates against foreign imports, and particularly against oil and gas; nonetheless we do have potentially massive coal reserves that are still unused, and lying in the ground. Using these would reduce our dependency on imports, but would not reduce carbon consumption.
The very strong dependency that Europe presently has on Russian gas is a bad thing, but conversely, if Russia had nothing to sell us, that too would be a bad thing.
And Iran is claiming it is looking to the day when it will no longer be exporting oil to the rest of the world. The strategies it is looking at to make itself less dependent upon oil is itself causing controversy.
Again, how do you measure that dependency? Most people just look at tonnage used, and focus on the massive use of carbon as a fuel, but ignore the major strategic (and continually increasingly so) dependency on oil as a chemical feedstock for a very wide range of industries and products. Each year, even as there is pressure to reduce carbon tonnage through reduced carbon fuel usage, we continue to develop new uses and increasing dependencies for polymers, and other products, derived from oil.If you are really concerned about the nation strategic independence from oil, then should we not be looking as much as reducing the range of uses of oil as reducing the tonnage usage.
And, as I pointed out - there are other fossil fuels besides oil, and some (such as coal) would not need to be imported, while others (like uranium) are not carbon based, but would require imports.
I do not disagree with these reservations.
I merely said that I don't believe the notion that the world has a shortage of food (or that it will have a shortage of food) is true (at least insofar as food shortages are not caused by lack of food growing capacity, but they are rather more caused by the politics and economics of food distribution).One aspect of this where you might have partially been valid is not that there would in any direct sense have been a shortage of food, but rather that the market price of feedstock for fuel might have been higher than the present market price for food, and thus effectively pushing up the global price of wheat, or whatever agricultural product was used for energy production.
I don't believe that every political debate can be simply classed as left or right, and in any case, a mature debate about the issues involved should be able to reach beyond sticking labels on people.
if i may ask one thing, can we keep replys to a minimum or spread them over two or more replys it would help me get to bed earlier.......i can not remember the last time i spent so much time on one reply.thanks in advance []
oh my, where do i start? well it's almost bed time so i will try and answer what i can, if only i could enlarge the "quote" reply box!