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I have carried out a multi-year study on ocean pH and have included all the relevant equations from Zeebe and Wolf-Gladrow's book 'CO2 in Seawater: Equilibrium, Isotopes,Kinetics' which contains the solubility product equations for CO2(2-),HCO2(-) and H2CO2 as well as for magnesium carbonate (magnesite) and calcium carbonate(both aragonite and calcite) buffers. I have included as much relevant chemistry in the analysis as I can including phosphorus and boron , ,sodium,chlorine and fluorine salts.The pH equations I used are the SWS scale equations from Brookhaven National Lab which were made public by Ernie Lewis and Doug Wallace who are scientists there.I projected the CO2 parts per million (ppm) in the atmosphere into the future, assuming continuing industrial development and population growth and urbanization and deforestation rates remain constant. I used the Mauna Kea data set for CO2 ppm, and used a Bayesian Markov Monte Carlo simulation to project CO2 into the future. With these CO2 levels, I was able to calculate the equilibrium year by year at the surface of the ocean and with the diffusion equations I was able to solve them to depth (1000 feet) using temperature and salinity profiles that are publicly available. This result showed me that the magnesium carbonate buffer would break in the ocean around 2021-2025 over a 2 year period, and both of the following can happen. 1) When the buffer breaks, CO2 will well up from the depths, and the ocean will off-gas CO2 into the atmosphere causing atmospheric heating due to the green house gas, and more extreme weather events with the water cycle worldwide.2) The ocean pH could drop by as much as 1 pH level to 7.3 from 8.3 worldwide. This , along with temperature heating in the ocean, could cause the demise of the krill and phytoplankton populations that have already been decimated since 1950 by 40% due to pollution and temperature changes.If this happens, the base of the food chain in the ocean could be at serious risk of collapse and with it , all life in the ocean. This would eventually ripple onto land food chains and might cause a collapse over the entire earth of the ecosystem food chain. This is a serious probability.. I believe both of these effects will happen to greater and lesser degree simultaneously and at different places in the worlds oceans when the ppm reaches 493 ppm approximately around 2021-2025.I believe a real chemistry experiment needs to be done aswell, just to confirm the simulation is correct, by adding CO2 to seawater at room temperature and pressure in a closed container until the pH changes, and note the concentration of CO2 above the seawater when this happens. I predict it will be about 493 ppm CO2 for the first pH change when the magnesium carbonate buffer breaks and around 878 ppm CO2 when the second pH catastrophe occurs, and that is when the calcium carbonate buffer breaks in the seawater!We need to act now with new technology that generates energy without emitting CO2.I believe an efficient natural gas-solar hybrid engine that emits no CO2 and is very fuel efficient is possiblePlease see the following links for more information: Under Science Forums at TheNakedScientists.com, in Technology section the question : Can we build an efficient hybrid natural gas-solar engine that emits no CO2?https://www.thenakedscientists.com/forum/index.php?topic=60132.msg466461#msg466461check out: Can we save the marine life with Ocean Engineering?https://www.thenakedscientists.com/forum/index.php?topic=69577.msg505754#msg505754Keep in mind that 18 milliLitres of H2O = 18 grams approximately which is one Mol of H2O if it is pure and that is equal to 6.023x10^(23) molecules of H2O. Now imagine the whole Ocean. According to K. Gubbins of Cornell University even 100 molecules of water is too combinatorially explosive to calculate the quantum wavefunction of, so its impossible to predict what will happen in a LIVING OCEAN in the future! But it is best to take the side of caution and act now to remove CO2 from the Ocean!
Are you a betting man?Care for a flutter?
Quote from: Tim the Plumber on 17/01/2017 17:59:38Are you a betting man?Care for a flutter?I am not really a betting man.
Quote from: Chondrally on 19/01/2017 08:31:06Quote from: Tim the Plumber on 17/01/2017 17:59:38Are you a betting man?Care for a flutter?I am not really a betting man.If you are very confident that the slightly higher levels of CO2 expected to happen by 2035 will kill the world's oceans as you say, even though this has never happened in the past when there were much higher levels, then you can make loads of money out of me.I will bet that this does not happen If any of the world's oceans experience such effects you can have all my money. If these do not happen by 2035 I get all yours. How's that?
Quote from: Tim the Plumber on 19/01/2017 16:53:57Quote from: Chondrally on 19/01/2017 08:31:06Quote from: Tim the Plumber on 17/01/2017 17:59:38Are you a betting man?Care for a flutter?I am not really a betting man.If you are very confident that the slightly higher levels of CO2 expected to happen by 2035 will kill the world's oceans as you say, even though this has never happened in the past when there were much higher levels, then you can make loads of money out of me.I will bet that this does not happen If any of the world's oceans experience such effects you can have all my money. If these do not happen by 2035 I get all yours. How's that? A person he died and when he went up to the pearly gates he encountered St. Peter. Peter said we have a dial with a pointer on it when you tell a lie the pointer moves around the dial and he showed them the dial and pointer. For Mother Theresa and the pointer was still. The man asked about Donald Trumps dial and pointer and St Peter said we are using it for a fan!I am not really after money as you might think and am poorer financially than you might expect. I still respect mother Theresa st Francis and st Patrick though I am not Catholic and Justin wellby
Quote from: Chondrally on 19/01/2017 17:09:16Quote from: Tim the Plumber on 19/01/2017 16:53:57Quote from: Chondrally on 19/01/2017 08:31:06Quote from: Tim the Plumber on 17/01/2017 17:59:38Are you a betting man?Care for a flutter?I am not really a betting man.If you are very confident that the slightly higher levels of CO2 expected to happen by 2035 will kill the world's oceans as you say, even though this has never happened in the past when there were much higher levels, then you can make loads of money out of me.I will bet that this does not happen If any of the world's oceans experience such effects you can have all my money. If these do not happen by 2035 I get all yours. How's that? A person he died and when he went up to the pearly gates he encountered St. Peter. Peter said we have a dial with a pointer on it when you tell a lie the pointer moves around the dial and he showed them the dial and pointer. For Mother Theresa and the pointer was still. The man asked about Donald Trumps dial and pointer and St Peter said we are using it for a fan!I am not really after money as you might think and am poorer financially than you might expect. I still respect mother Theresa st Francis and st Patrick though I am not Catholic and Justin wellbyI'll take that as you have no confidence on your prediction then.
Quote from: Tim the Plumber on 20/01/2017 17:43:12Quote from: Chondrally on 19/01/2017 17:09:16Quote from: Tim the Plumber on 19/01/2017 16:53:57Quote from: Chondrally on 19/01/2017 08:31:06Quote from: Tim the Plumber on 17/01/2017 17:59:38Are you a betting man?Care for a flutter?I am not really a betting man.If you are very confident that the slightly higher levels of CO2 expected to happen by 2035 will kill the world's oceans as you say, even though this has never happened in the past when there were much higher levels, then you can make loads of money out of me.I will bet that this does not happen If any of the world's oceans experience such effects you can have all my money. If these do not happen by 2035 I get all yours. How's that? A person he died and when he went up to the pearly gates he encountered St. Peter. Peter said we have a dial with a pointer on it when you tell a lie the pointer moves around the dial and he showed them the dial and pointer. For Mother Theresa and the pointer was still. The man asked about Donald Trumps dial and pointer and St Peter said we are using it for a fan!I am not really after money as you might think and am poorer financially than you might expect. I still respect mother Theresa st Francis and st Patrick though I am not Catholic and Justin wellbyI'll take that as you have no confidence on your prediction then.Not True, a true scientist would not bet money on it thats all, he or she would look at the facts and decide for himself or herself if it made sense or not. Also its an ethical conflict of interest and you got the year wrong, it wouldn`t be fair! Also a conservative person wouldn`t bet on it just out of principle, it isn`t right to bet on it! Education is the correct answer! Either i have succeeded in educating you or i haven`t! Its not WISE to bet on it! Either i have convinced you with my arguments and defense or i haven`t! And we may have to agree to disagree! I did not CHARGE you money for this contribution, you don`t have to read it if you don`t want to! I am not trying to offend anyone!There was something to do with the extinction of phytoplankton blooms in the Cambrian-Ordovician extinction aswell 488 million years ago!https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cambrian%E2%80%93Ordovician_extinction_event
Insults now| I wondered about the kindness of Science. Bored Chemist has assured me he is not kind or forgiving and he has not realized it does make sense. When the buffer saturates,The Co2 will well up and the ocean will off gas. if it saturates at depth, this is a progressive process that takes a few years Geologically speaking. Bored Chemist seems to be missing the visual knowledge and background about the ocean necessary to comment fully. He is acting like it is not worth his time, a common ploy amongst those in Science with egos that feel threatened.Learn to educate in the free flow of ideas.... what exactly doesn`t make sense to you specifically. to just say the whole thing doesn`t make sense is an ignorant response. if you really believed in education you would tackle the specifics and make points about them one by one if you cared. but all you can do is not be nice and throw insults. it really is a shame cambridge has come to this!Do you respect that i worked on this for years, i don`t expect you to understand it in a quick read even if you have made many posts before. judging by the quality of your posts it is dubious any of them made any sense other than to bait people to make them look foolish. you haven`t read the book CO2 in Seawater or studied the visual basic of Doug Wallace and Ernie Lewis from Brookhaven. I bet you can`t even program. most chemists can`t. Can you? Do you understand the diffusion equations and how they can be solved to depth with an equilibrium at the surface. Do you understand how to forecast CO2 concentrations at sea level from Mauna Kea with something more intelligent than a polynomial? Bet you won`t enter into a serious dialogue. bet you and tim plumber are the same person.The baby exists, therefore chmistry and math don`t. It is the belief of your mother! Every baby hopefully has five fingers on each hand and five toes on each foot. She visualizes them during pregnancy! 5,10,15 and 20 exist and all the numbers in between as integers!
Quote from: Chondrally on 21/01/2017 13:18:02Insults now| I wondered about the kindness of Science. Bored Chemist has assured me he is not kind or forgiving and he has not realized it does make sense. When the buffer saturates,The Co2 will well up and the ocean will off gas. if it saturates at depth, this is a progressive process that takes a few years Geologically speaking. Bored Chemist seems to be missing the visual knowledge and background about the ocean necessary to comment fully. He is acting like it is not worth his time, a common ploy amongst those in Science with egos that feel threatened.Learn to educate in the free flow of ideas.... what exactly doesn`t make sense to you specifically. to just say the whole thing doesn`t make sense is an ignorant response. if you really believed in education you would tackle the specifics and make points about them one by one if you cared. but all you can do is not be nice and throw insults. it really is a shame cambridge has come to this!Do you respect that i worked on this for years, i don`t expect you to understand it in a quick read even if you have made many posts before. judging by the quality of your posts it is dubious any of them made any sense other than to bait people to make them look foolish. you haven`t read the book CO2 in Seawater or studied the visual basic of Doug Wallace and Ernie Lewis from Brookhaven. I bet you can`t even program. most chemists can`t. Can you? Do you understand the diffusion equations and how they can be solved to depth with an equilibrium at the surface. Do you understand how to forecast CO2 concentrations at sea level from Mauna Kea with something more intelligent than a polynomial? Bet you won`t enter into a serious dialogue. bet you and tim plumber are the same person.The baby exists, therefore chmistry and math don`t. It is the belief of your mother! Every baby hopefully has five fingers on each hand and five toes on each foot. She visualizes them during pregnancy! 5,10,15 and 20 exist and all the numbers in between as integers!Pointing out that you are wrong is not an insult- or at least, it's no more of one than you saying "Either i have succeeded in educating you or i haven`t! ".(Incidentally, you might want to learn to use capital letters when telling people that you are educating them.)It is not sufficient for you to restate your unsupported opinion that "The Co2 will well up and the ocean will off gas".If you want to be taken seriously you need to explain why. (And it would be good if you learned to use capitals here too- at the moment your post refers to diaotmic cobalt vapour- rather an unusual material)In particular, you need to explain why a law of physics that has stood the test of a couple of centuries will suddenly fail.https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Le_Chatelier's_principleThe problem isn't my lack of vision, nor my ego.You are the one claiming that you- and only you- know what's going to happen.That's a fairly egoistical claim.You may well have worked on this for years. that doesn't mean you got it right.I'm a chemist according to the subject I studied at university, but I currently earn a living as a software tester and programmer. You need to stop making assumptions like "I bet you can`t even program. " which are both irrelevant and likely to make you look foolish when the turn out to be stupidly wrong.About the only thing that Tim and I are likely to agree on is that this " bet you and tim plumber are the same person."is hilariously funny
...[ I deleted the long pointless quote from wiki that you forgot to attribute BC]It applies to closed , isolated systems in nature, not to a vast open system like the Ocean. ...Actually, le Chateliers law applies to the ocean, because it is contained and isolated within the atmosphere. ...
Quote from: Chondrally on 21/01/2017 16:50:48...[ I deleted the long pointless quote from wiki that you forgot to attribute BC]You`ve confirmed that the process of Science is not kind, forgiving or nice. You dismissed the whole person for making a logical contradiction. Its an error on your part in the modern age.Both statements are true. And its the quantum superposition of both that is the truth, not one or the other. You don`t understand wavefunctions!It applies to closed , isolated systems in nature, not to a vast open system like the Ocean. ...Actually, le Chateliers law applies to the ocean, because it is contained and isolated within the atmosphere. ...Thank you for making it clear that you do not know what you are talking about.You can stop now.
...[ I deleted the long pointless quote from wiki that you forgot to attribute BC]You`ve confirmed that the process of Science is not kind, forgiving or nice. You dismissed the whole person for making a logical contradiction. Its an error on your part in the modern age.Both statements are true. And its the quantum superposition of both that is the truth, not one or the other. You don`t understand wavefunctions!It applies to closed , isolated systems in nature, not to a vast open system like the Ocean. ...Actually, le Chateliers law applies to the ocean, because it is contained and isolated within the atmosphere. ...
Quote from: Bored chemist on 22/01/2017 10:36:26Quote from: Chondrally on 21/01/2017 16:50:48...[ I deleted the long pointless quote from wiki that you forgot to attribute BC]It applies to closed , isolated systems in nature, not to a vast open system like the Ocean. ...Actually, le Chateliers law applies to the ocean, because it is contained and isolated within the atmosphere. ...Thank you for making it clear that you do not know what you are talking about.You can stop now.
Quote from: Chondrally on 21/01/2017 16:50:48...[ I deleted the long pointless quote from wiki that you forgot to attribute BC]It applies to closed , isolated systems in nature, not to a vast open system like the Ocean. ...Actually, le Chateliers law applies to the ocean, because it is contained and isolated within the atmosphere. ...Thank you for making it clear that you do not know what you are talking about.You can stop now.
Quote from: Chondrally on 22/01/2017 15:36:08Quote from: Bored chemist on 22/01/2017 10:36:26Quote from: Chondrally on 21/01/2017 16:50:48...[ I deleted the long pointless quote from wiki that you forgot to attribute BC]It applies to closed , isolated systems in nature, not to a vast open system like the Ocean. ...Actually, le Chateliers law applies to the ocean, because it is contained and isolated within the atmosphere. ...Thank you for making it clear that you do not know what you are talking about.You can stop now.You`ve confirmed that the process of Science is not kind, forgiving or nice. You dismissed the whole person for making a logical contradiction. Its an error on your part in the modern age.Both statements are true. And its the quantum superposition of both that is the truth, not one or the other. You don`t understand wavefunctions!
Quote from: Chondrally on 22/01/2017 15:37:28Quote from: Chondrally on 22/01/2017 15:36:08Quote from: Bored chemist on 22/01/2017 10:36:26Quote from: Chondrally on 21/01/2017 16:50:48...[ I deleted the long pointless quote from wiki that you forgot to attribute BC]You are saying give up and don`t do any calculation at all.... i still think the calculation is valid and that it should be respected. You haven`t even examined it in detail so you are in no position to comment!It applies to closed , isolated systems in nature, not to a vast open system like the Ocean. ...Actually, le Chateliers law applies to the ocean, because it is contained and isolated within the atmosphere. ...Thank you for making it clear that you do not know what you are talking about.You can stop now.You`ve confirmed that the process of Science is not kind, forgiving or nice. You dismissed the whole person for making a logical contradiction. Its an error on your part in the modern age.Both statements are true. And its the quantum superposition of both that is the truth, not one or the other. You don`t understand wavefunctions!Science isn't "kind" or unkind.It just dismisses things that are shown to be wrong.I see you think you can play the "quantum woo" card on a science site.Science is about to dismiss that idea too.And, for the record, I'm a chemist- of course I understand wave functions.Once someone observed them the superposition collapses to one state or the other. Guess what? I observed your post (though I doubt many others are still reading this thread) so you are wrong. (Actually, you were already wrong when you posted it- but that's hardly the point).Now, perhaps you would like to get back to explaining how putting more CO2 in the ocean will lead to there being less CO2 in the ocean.
Quote from: Chondrally on 22/01/2017 15:36:08Quote from: Bored chemist on 22/01/2017 10:36:26Quote from: Chondrally on 21/01/2017 16:50:48...[ I deleted the long pointless quote from wiki that you forgot to attribute BC]You are saying give up and don`t do any calculation at all.... i still think the calculation is valid and that it should be respected. You haven`t even examined it in detail so you are in no position to comment!It applies to closed , isolated systems in nature, not to a vast open system like the Ocean. ...Actually, le Chateliers law applies to the ocean, because it is contained and isolated within the atmosphere. ...Thank you for making it clear that you do not know what you are talking about.You can stop now.You`ve confirmed that the process of Science is not kind, forgiving or nice. You dismissed the whole person for making a logical contradiction. Its an error on your part in the modern age.Both statements are true. And its the quantum superposition of both that is the truth, not one or the other. You don`t understand wavefunctions!
Quote from: Bored chemist on 22/01/2017 10:36:26Quote from: Chondrally on 21/01/2017 16:50:48...[ I deleted the long pointless quote from wiki that you forgot to attribute BC]You are saying give up and don`t do any calculation at all.... i still think the calculation is valid and that it should be respected. You haven`t even examined it in detail so you are in no position to comment!It applies to closed , isolated systems in nature, not to a vast open system like the Ocean. ...Actually, le Chateliers law applies to the ocean, because it is contained and isolated within the atmosphere. ...Thank you for making it clear that you do not know what you are talking about.You can stop now.
Quote from: Chondrally on 21/01/2017 16:50:48...[ I deleted the long pointless quote from wiki that you forgot to attribute BC]You are saying give up and don`t do any calculation at all.... i still think the calculation is valid and that it should be respected. You haven`t even examined it in detail so you are in no position to comment!It applies to closed , isolated systems in nature, not to a vast open system like the Ocean. ...Actually, le Chateliers law applies to the ocean, because it is contained and isolated within the atmosphere. ...Thank you for making it clear that you do not know what you are talking about.You can stop now.
...[ I deleted the long pointless quote from wiki that you forgot to attribute BC]You are saying give up and don`t do any calculation at all.... i still think the calculation is valid and that it should be respected. You haven`t even examined it in detail so you are in no position to comment!It applies to closed , isolated systems in nature, not to a vast open system like the Ocean. ...Actually, le Chateliers law applies to the ocean, because it is contained and isolated within the atmosphere. ...
Quote from: Bored chemist on 22/01/2017 15:45:59Quote from: Chondrally on 22/01/2017 15:37:28Quote from: Chondrally on 22/01/2017 15:36:08Quote from: Bored chemist on 22/01/2017 10:36:26Quote from: Chondrally on 21/01/2017 16:50:48...[ I deleted the long pointless quote from wiki that you forgot to attribute BC]You are saying give up and don`t do any calculation at all.... i still think the calculation is valid and that it should be respected. You haven`t even examined it in detail so you are in no position to comment!It applies to closed , isolated systems in nature, not to a vast open system like the Ocean. ...Actually, le Chateliers law applies to the ocean, because it is contained and isolated within the atmosphere. ...Thank you for making it clear that you do not know what you are talking about.You can stop now.You`ve confirmed that the process of Science is not kind, forgiving or nice. You dismissed the whole person for making a logical contradiction. Its an error on your part in the modern age.Both statements are true. And its the quantum superposition of both that is the truth, not one or the other. You don`t understand wavefunctions!Science isn't "kind" or unkind.It just dismisses things that are shown to be wrong.I see you think you can play the "quantum woo" card on a science site.Science is about to dismiss that idea too.And, for the record, I'm a chemist- of course I understand wave functions.Once someone observed them the superposition collapses to one state or the other. Guess what? I observed your post (though I doubt many others are still reading this thread) so you are wrong. (Actually, you were already wrong when you posted it- but that's hardly the point).Now, perhaps you would like to get back to explaining how putting more CO2 in the ocean will lead to there being less CO2 in the ocean.Your attempt to be superior is vain on your part. You would throw the baby out with the bathwater. Wavefunctions do apply to statements of truth and Science cannot dismiss that.The truth is there are many contradictions in the world. and your process of knowledge acquisition about being wrong or right is invalid. you fail to see that people can have win win.I mentioned already thtat you are bipolar and see things in black and white. Chemists are not being subtle about language. Can you see your language is hurtful and unkind!
... bet you and tim plumber are the same person.