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  4. How close are we from building a virtual universe?
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How close are we from building a virtual universe?

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Offline hamdani yusuf (OP)

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Re: How close are we from building a virtual universe?
« Reply #720 on: 14/01/2024 01:05:26 »
Billions of dollars are spent to build, operate, and maintain supercomputers, with the intention to predict the future.
How Supercomputers ACTUALLY Run The World
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Re: How close are we from building a virtual universe?
« Reply #721 on: 15/01/2024 07:02:53 »
?What's wrong with LLMs and what we should be building instead? - Tom Dietterich - #VSCF2023
Quote
Keynote: ?What's wrong with LLMs and what we should be building instead?
Abstract: Large Language Models provide a pre-trained foundation for training many interesting AI systems. However, they have many shortcomings. They are expensive to train and to update, their non-linguistic knowledge is poor, they make false and self-contradictory statements, and these statements can be socially and ethically inappropriate. This talk will review these shortcomdifferentings and current efforts to address them within the existing LLM framework. It will then argue for a , more modular architecture that decomposes the functions of existing LLMs and adds several additional components. We believe this alternative can address all of the shortcomings of LLMs. We will speculate about how this modular architecture could be built through a combination of machine learning and engineering.

Timeline:
00:00-02:00 - Introducci?n
00:00-02:00 Introduction to large language models and their capabilities
02:01-3:14 Problems with large language models: Incorrect and contradictory answers
03:15-4:28 Problems with large language models: Dangerous and socially unacceptable answers
04:29-6:40 Problems with large language models: Expensive to train and lack of updateability
06:41-12:58 Problems with large language models: Lack of attribution and poor non-linguistic knowledge
12:59-15:02 Benefits and limitations of retrieval augmentation
15:03-15:59 Challenges of attribution and data poisoning
16:00-18:00 Strategies to improve consistency in model answers
18:01-21:00 Reducing dangerous and socially inappropriate outputs
21:01-25:26 Learning and applying non-linguistic knowledge
25:27-37:35 Building modular systems to integrate reasoning and planning
37:36-39:20 Large language models have surprising capabilities but lack knowledge bases.
39:21-40:47 Building modular systems that separate linguistic skill from world knowledge is important.
40:48-45:47 Questions and discussions on cognitive architectures and addressing the issue of miscalibration.
45:48 Overcoming flaws in large language models through prompting engineering and verification.

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Re: How close are we from building a virtual universe?
« Reply #722 on: 16/01/2024 12:44:48 »
AI Experts Revise Predictions by 48 YEARS - We're in the endgame now!
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Re: How close are we from building a virtual universe?
« Reply #723 on: 18/01/2024 13:59:51 »
Artificial intelligence: Smarter than we think (MMLU increases for GPT models) [FIXED]
Massive Multitask Language Understanding Benchmark is a test that was designed to be as hard as possible to test frontier models. Current models are already outperforming human average significantly. Newer models yet to be published are potentially outperforming human experts.
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Re: How close are we from building a virtual universe?
« Reply #724 on: 19/01/2024 12:45:02 »
Alpha Everywhere: AlphaGeometry, AlphaCodium and the Future of LLMs
Quote
Is AlphaGeometry a key step toward AGI? Even Deepmind's leaders can't seem to make their minds up. In this video, I'll give you the rundown of what AlphaGeometry is, what it means and what it doesn't meann. Plus I'll cover AlphaCodium, dropped open-source tonight seemingly out of nowhere, and causing a big stir for what it might mean for coders the world over. And I'll touch on what I foresee is the future of large languages models and their alliance with search.

The comment below reflects my view on how to achieve AGI from long ago.
Quote
As different things are bolted together it reminds me of various regions of the brain that are specialized and work together.
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Re: How close are we from building a virtual universe?
« Reply #725 on: 20/01/2024 13:02:06 »
These videos give fundamental concepts on how we've got here in the development of AI, which in turn will be the core of future useful virtual universe.

How Artificial Neural Networks Learn Concepts
Quote
Why do neural networks need to be deep? In this video we explore how neural networks transform perceptions into concepts. This video unravels the mystery behind how machines interpret input data, such as images or sounds, and categorize them into recognizable concepts. From the basic structure of neurons and layers to the intricate play of weights and activations, get a comprehensive understanding of the learning process. Explore real-world applications like handwriting recognition and how layered processing aids in effective data categorization. Whether it's distinguishing between summer and winter days based on temperature and humidity or recognizing handwritten digits, the magic lies in the layered architecture of neural networks. This video elucidates how these artificial networks mimic the human brain's ability to interpret, recognize, and reason, marking a significant stride in AI research towards creating machines capable of reasoning. Why layers matter.

Why Transformers are Powerful (Fixed vs. Adaptive weights)
Quote
This video demystifies the core insight behind Transformers, moving beyond traditional explanations that get lost in query, key, value matrices and positional encoding. Instead, we'll unravel how a unique kind of layer, capable of adapting its connection weights based on input context, catapults the Transformer's efficiency and processing prowess. Comparing this dynamic nature with static layers in traditional networks, we'll see why Transformers excel in handling complex tasks with fewer layers. Get a visual grasp of how mini networks within layers, known as attention heads, act as information filters, dynamically adjusting to input and enhancing the model's learning capability. This simplified yet insightful explanation aims to shed light on the essence of what makes Transformers a game-changer in the realm of deep learning.
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Re: How close are we from building a virtual universe?
« Reply #726 on: 22/01/2024 12:51:15 »
Meta's Shocking New Research | Self-Rewarding Language Models

The ultimate reward is continued existence in physical universe.
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Re: How close are we from building a virtual universe?
« Reply #727 on: 22/01/2024 19:38:27 »
Quote from: hamdani yusuf on 22/01/2024 12:51:15
Meta's Shocking New Research | Self-Rewarding Language Models
The downfall of megalomaniacs, throughout history, has been the point at which they believed their own propaganda. Ozymandias, Canute, Napoleon, Hitler.... The academic question is whether Putin, Trump or Musk will be next. The humanitarian question is why do we tolerate these dangerous people?
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Re: How close are we from building a virtual universe?
« Reply #728 on: 23/01/2024 21:55:15 »
Quote from: alancalverd on 22/01/2024 19:38:27
The downfall of megalomaniacs, throughout history, has been the point at which they believed their own propaganda. Ozymandias, Canute, Napoleon, Hitler....
Was there a point where they don't believe their own propaganda? What's the difference with those who didn't experience downfall to their death?
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Re: How close are we from building a virtual universe?
« Reply #729 on: 23/01/2024 22:14:23 »
Quote from: alancalverd on 22/01/2024 19:38:27
The academic question is whether Putin, Trump or Musk will be next. The humanitarian question is why do we tolerate these dangerous people?
That's why democratizing AI became a high priority, at least among open source community. No single person is too important to future AGI.
Perhaps they haven't found a better alternative for their best interest, which depends on how they prioritize things. Which in turn depends on their terminal goal and their understanding of the universe.
« Last Edit: 23/01/2024 22:17:07 by hamdani yusuf »
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Re: How close are we from building a virtual universe?
« Reply #730 on: 24/01/2024 09:01:02 »
If you have no idea how AI could escape from human's control, this video shows how it could play out.
How Will AI Escape? - "No intelligent entity optimizes for a single number!" [Escaped Sapiens]
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Re: How close are we from building a virtual universe?
« Reply #731 on: 24/01/2024 12:34:54 »
AlphaGeometry: Solving olympiad geometry without human demonstrations (Paper Explained)
Quote
AlphaGeometry is a combination of a symbolic solver and a large language model by Google DeepMind that tackles IMO geometry questions without any human-generated trainind data.

OUTLINE:
0:00 - Introduction
1:30 - Problem Statement
7:30 - Core Contribution: Synthetic Data Generation
9:30 - Sampling Premises
13:00 - Symbolic Deduction
17:00 - Traceback
19:00 - Auxiliary Construction
25:20 - Experimental Results
32:00 - Problem Representation
34:30 - Final Comments

Abstract:
Proving mathematical theorems at the olympiad level represents a notable milestone in human-level automated reasoning1,2,3,4, owing to their reputed difficulty among the world?s best talents in pre-university mathematics. Current machine-learning approaches, however, are not applicable to most mathematical domains owing to the high cost of translating human proofs into machine-verifiable format. The problem is even worse for geometry because of its unique translation challenges1,5, resulting in severe scarcity of training data. We propose AlphaGeometry, a theorem prover for Euclidean plane geometry that sidesteps the need for human demonstrations by synthesizing millions of theorems and proofs across different levels of complexity. AlphaGeometry is a neuro-symbolic system that uses a neural language model, trained from scratch on our large-scale synthetic data, to guide a symbolic deduction engine through infinite branching points in challenging problems. On a test set of 30 latest olympiad-level problems, AlphaGeometry solves 25, outperforming the previous best method that only solves ten problems and approaching the performance of an average International Mathematical Olympiad (IMO) gold medallist. Notably, AlphaGeometry produces human-readable proofs, solves all geometry problems in the IMO 2000 and 2015 under human expert evaluation and discovers a generalized version of a translated IMO theorem in 2004.

Authors: Trieu H. Trinh, Yuhuai Wu, Quoc V. Le, He He & Thang Luong
It shows how fast AI progress can catch up with humans reasoning ability.
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Re: How close are we from building a virtual universe?
« Reply #732 on: 25/01/2024 03:05:48 »
Mark Zuckerberg NEW STATEMENT Changes EVERYTHING!

Quote
00:02 Mark Zuckerberg announces plans to merge Metas 2 AI research efforts to build general intelligence.
02:02 Mark Zuckerberg wants to open-source AGI
04:01 Meta's AI Chief skeptical about AI superintelligence and Quantum Computing
05:47 Debate on the future of AI and its capabilities

The open source decision by Meta is a real game changing in humans effort to build general intelligence.
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Re: How close are we from building a virtual universe?
« Reply #733 on: 26/01/2024 06:25:07 »
Sam Altman: there?s no ?magic red button? to stop AI
Quote
Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, and Satya Nadella, CEO of Microsoft, speak to The Economist?s editor-in-chief, Zanny Minton Beddoes, about what the future of AI will really look like.

00:00 Sam Altman and Satya Nadella talk to The Economist
00:25 What?s next for ChatGPT?
1:33 How dangerous is AGI?
2:32 AI regulation
And here's an interesting comment
Quote
An engineer can halt a training run, but a corporation cannot stop a profitable enterprise. And as more groups join the race, the only button they manufacture for themselves to press is ACCELERATE.
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Re: How close are we from building a virtual universe?
« Reply #734 on: 26/01/2024 09:31:36 »
Quote from: hamdani yusuf on 24/01/2024 12:34:54
It shows how fast AI progress can catch up with humans reasoning ability.
Heres another Youtuber presenting the same paper.
DeepMind?s AlphaGeometry AI: 100,000,000 Examples!
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Re: How close are we from building a virtual universe?
« Reply #735 on: 26/01/2024 09:47:02 »
Here's from my other thread.
Quote from: hamdani yusuf on 20/01/2024 12:38:25
Quote from: alancalverd on 19/01/2024 22:17:34
Quote from: hamdani yusuf on 19/01/2024 21:14:18
Computer software has done those things in virtual environment.
Which is a roundabout way of saying that they haven't done them. I have flown to Mars and bombed the Mohne dam in a virtual environment. You don't get medals for not actually doing something.
Not yet. Computation is just one component of consciousness. That's why I said I prefer the holistic approach for consciousness.
Combining AI and robotics like what's being done by Tesla and other tech companies can make the difference in not so distant future.

And the progress in AI already address that.
This new AI that will take your job at McDonald's
Quote
ALOHA
[Paper] https://arxiv.org/abs/2304.13705
[Project Page] https://tonyzhaozh.github.io/aloha/

Mobile ALOHA
[Paper] https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.02117
[Project Page] https://mobile-aloha.github.io/
Code https://github.com/MarkFzp/act-plus-plus

ALOHA: Abstract
Fine manipulation tasks, such as threading cable ties or slotting a battery, are notoriously difficult for robots because they require precision, careful coordination of contact forces, and closed-loop visual feedback. Performing these tasks typically requires high-end robots, accurate sensors, or careful calibration, which can be expensive and difficult to set up. Can learning enable low-cost and imprecise hardware to perform these fine manipulation tasks? We present a low-cost system that performs end-to-end imitation learning directly from real demonstrations, collected with a custom teleoperation interface. Imitation learning, however, presents its own challenges, particularly in high-precision domains: the error of the policy can compound over time, drifting out of the training distribution. To address this challenge, we develop a novel algorithm Action Chunking with Transformers (ACT) which reduces the effective horizon by simply predicting actions in chunks. This allows us to learn difficult tasks such as opening a translucent condiment cup and slotting a battery with 80-90% success, with only 10 minutes worth of demonstration data.


Mobile ALOHA: Abstract
Imitation learning from human demonstrations has shown impressive performance in robotics. However, most results focus on table-top manipulation, lacking the mobility and dexterity necessary for generally useful tasks. In this work, we develop a system for imitating mobile manipulation tasks that are bimanual and require whole-body control. We first present Mobile ALOHA, a low-cost and whole-body teleoperation system for data collection. It augments the ALOHA system with a mobile base, and a whole-body teleoperation interface. Using data collected with Mobile ALOHA, we then perform supervised behavior cloning and find that co-training with existing static ALOHA datasets boosts performance on mobile manipulation tasks. With 50 demonstrations for each task, co-training can increase success rates by up to 90%, allowing Mobile ALOHA to autonomously complete complex mobile manipulation tasks such as sauteing and serving a piece of shrimp, opening a two-door wall cabinet to store heavy cooking pots, calling and entering an elevator, and lightly rinsing a used pan using a kitchen faucet.

A quick clarification:
3:33 to 3:58 of the cooking and the day in a life are all teleoperated, not behavior cloned. It was meant to be a demonstration on what teleoperation can do, and what behavioral cloning can potentially do with these teleoperated data.
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Re: How close are we from building a virtual universe?
« Reply #736 on: 26/01/2024 18:18:40 »
Paint-spraying robots have been learning from human experts for years.

Machines have been cleaning and sauteeing shrimp likewise.
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Re: How close are we from building a virtual universe?
« Reply #737 on: 27/01/2024 05:45:51 »
Quote from: alancalverd on 26/01/2024 18:18:40
Paint-spraying robots have been learning from human experts for years.

Machines have been cleaning and sauteeing shrimp likewise.
The difference is in generality. Also, AI robots can learn from experience, and up to some extend, adapt to different or new situations.
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Re: How close are we from building a virtual universe?
« Reply #738 on: 01/02/2024 11:04:14 »
This video shows another benefit of using AI to enforce integrity and consistency.
Bribes and Betrayals: Academia's Elite Corrupted! [Scientific Fraud!]

Quote
Uncover the alarming truth about how money and corruption are undermining academic integrity. Starting with a shocking revelation from a Cambridge researcher!

00:00 Intro
00:19 Nick Wise
01:04 The Discovery
01:33 The Scheme
03:00 The AI Effect
03:36 Bribes
04:46 Facebook
05:24 The Data
06:30 Solutions
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Re: How close are we from building a virtual universe?
« Reply #739 on: 01/02/2024 14:01:21 »
Training Humanoid Robots | OPTIMUS PRODUCTION DELAYED due to Insufficient Training Data?!?
Quote
Everything you wanted to know about how Humanoid Robots are trained, and will Tesla's Optimus be delayed due to shortage in training data?

00:00 - Intro
01:27 - 2023: Simulations, Soccer, Martial Arts
07:11 - A Personal Story
09:31 - 2024: End2End NN, LLMs
16:52 - Train Your Own Robot
18:53 - Creepy and Fun
19:49 - Privacy, Character,  Humanized Robot
23:10 - INSUFFICIENT Training Data?
30:37 - Who Wins? Optimus or Figure?
34:08 - So Who Will Win?
37:19 - FUN: Robot Faking It!
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