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  4. Is VW likely to have killed many people in the UK with their diesel cars?
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Is VW likely to have killed many people in the UK with their diesel cars?

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Offline Pecos_Bill

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Re: Is VW likely to have killed many people in the UK with their diesel cars?
« Reply #20 on: 25/09/2015 12:39:50 »
"Ignorant foreigner", eh?

Well, I am sorry that I responded to your initial provocation. Sadder, but wiser, eh?

I am going to post a picture of a diesel suv and then a diesel pick-up truck. Both of them are common in California. Not even Time magazine would think they are "cars".

Are you sure you want to keep following me around pulling this nonsense again , Hoss? I suggest that you get a nice tall glass of milk and think it over. Try a hobby or go watch the "footsie". Whatever it takes to get beyond the rancor which passed between us over in that GSCE dogfight. That sort of thing is thoughtless, unfortunate, and inconsiderate to others who aren't interested in seeing this forum turned into a Jerry Springer show....again.....like me.

If I have addressed you directly since then it was a regrettable and inadvertent mistake. I promise not to do it in the future and I would be deeply obliged if you could follow my example.

* suv.jpg (5.49 kB, 193x121 - viewed 531 times.)

* pick up.jpg (3.64 kB, 134x90 - viewed 7354 times.)
« Last Edit: 25/09/2015 12:52:34 by Pecos_Bill »
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Offline Bored chemist

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Re: Is VW likely to have killed many people in the UK with their diesel cars?
« Reply #21 on: 25/09/2015 14:58:35 »
Quote from: Pecos_Bill on 25/09/2015 09:38:26
Quote
Funny, that. There are hardly any diesel cars in California, or indeed anywhere in the USA. Must be the trucks and buses, but they are all made in the USA and therefore not subject to scandal!


Bwaaa - hah - hah -hah !

I just love it when foreigners talk thru their hat like that. They are just so damn cute!

Here is a picture of a gas pump [image # 1] - as are common in every California gas station. See the green nozzle socket labelled "Diesel Fuel # 2" Those are only there in the hopes that the diesel cars and pickups which don't exist in California may suddenly (May it please the noble Gods) magically appear.

Here is a description of the more commonly seen diesel pickup trucks in California [1.] You need something like this to haul your cabin cruiser to the lake or your 5th wheel toy hauler to the beach. [image # 2]

Then there are the diesel tractors, tomato harvesters [ image # 3 ], and etc. for the agribusiness of the central valley.

And that is why the peoples' lungs she's a turn black after you breathe the air in Fresno, Kern, King's and Tulare counties for a few years.

Then there are the coccidioidomycosis spores  like were eating the meninges of the poor pepper picker I shamed Merced county into treating until he decided he would rather go home to Mexico rather than get another intrathecal dose of Amphotericin.

So California's central valley is no place for sissy-boys. They just might get run over by a diesel pick-up truck( that doesn't exist) while the bozo driving it is texting his babe.

[1.]  http://www.greencarreports.com/news/1086531_diesel-pickup-trucks-from-chevy-ford-nissan-ram-ultimate-guide

In response to the claim that there are hardly any diesel cars in California you have show some pictures of things that use diesel, but are not cars (for example, because they are trucks) and also shown the pumps that let people buy fuel for them.

But you don't seem to have addressed the issue of cars in CA that use diesel.
Anyway, here's a list of 6000 or so diesel cars for sale in LA
http://www.autoblog.com/used-list/location-Los+Angeles+CA/fuel-Diesel

and here's a list of 249000 cars for sale that are not specifically diesel.
http://www.autoblog.com/used-list/location-los+angeles

All of which rather strongly suggests  that, at least as far as the  2nd hand market is concerned, only about 2.5% of cars there are diesel.
 
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Offline wolfekeeper (OP)

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Re: Is VW likely to have killed many people in the UK with their diesel cars?
« Reply #22 on: 25/09/2015 18:28:42 »
Nobody is dumb enough to claim there's no diesel powered trucks in LA.

The thing is though, the scandal specifically affects cars, and is partly because there's nowhere much to put an adblue tank in the car, so VW were trying to achieve the same affect without the tank... and apparently failing.
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Offline Pecos_Bill

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Re: Is VW likely to have killed many people in the UK with their diesel cars?
« Reply #23 on: 25/09/2015 18:40:42 »
Neither Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease nor Oat cell carcinoma of the lung give a lousy pinch of sour rat toe-jam whether the particulate matter which lets them kill people come from a VW, a John Deere tractor, or an SUV.

Premature death is death. You soon come to realize that when you are hooking them up to the morphine drip for the first night of their eternal rest.

That may sound crude to you, but I believe it calls for pregnant speech - and not fossicking about with nonsense -- considering the circumstances.
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Offline wolfekeeper (OP)

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Re: Is VW likely to have killed many people in the UK with their diesel cars?
« Reply #24 on: 25/09/2015 21:22:34 »
It doesn't sound crude to me, it just sounds like you didn't read or understand my post.
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Offline Pecos_Bill

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Re: Is VW likely to have killed many people in the UK with their diesel cars?
« Reply #25 on: 25/09/2015 22:56:56 »
For some reason people here often  are under the misapprehension that my posts are addressed to them. That is not so.

These threads are sometimes read by several thousand people - some of them can understand my warning of what lies ahead of them when they breathe that toxic caca - tomorrow, and tomorrow, and tomorrow.

Where else can a retired RN do that for free?
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Offline Bored chemist

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Re: Is VW likely to have killed many people in the UK with their diesel cars?
« Reply #26 on: 26/09/2015 00:21:04 »
Quote from: Pecos_Bill on 25/09/2015 22:56:56
For some reason people here often  are under the misapprehension that my posts are addressed to them. That is not so.

These threads are sometimes read by several thousand people - some of them can understand my warning of what lies ahead of them when they breathe that toxic caca - tomorrow, and tomorrow, and tomorrow.

Where else can a retired RN do that for free?
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Offline Bored chemist

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Re: Is VW likely to have killed many people in the UK with their diesel cars?
« Reply #27 on: 26/09/2015 00:24:36 »
"[OK, for a start, sorry, but I can't get this site to edit posts properly so I apologise for the multiple posts . if someone can stitch them together , that would be great.]
Secondly; Bill, was your post about "talk to the hand" addressed to everyone, or to someone in particular?"


BTW, no emoticon  will make a difference to the evidence that suggests that about 2.5% of cars in LA, California are diesel powered.
Looking on the bright side, at least thus far, you are not pretending that poetry is evidence.
« Last Edit: 26/09/2015 00:27:42 by Bored chemist »
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Offline Pecos_Bill

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Re: Is VW likely to have killed many people in the UK with their diesel cars?
« Reply #28 on: 26/09/2015 03:43:01 »
Quote

“Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the universe.”


― Albert Einstein

The reason that garbage is shortening peoples' lives in London every day is plain old asinine supratentorial insufficiency.

When they were killing off the Bison herds, they would sit off at up to 1,000 yards with a .50-90 Sharps rifle firing a bullet between 21.7 -45.4 grams of lead and drop them one at a time.

The poor dumb beasts were too stupid to run away when their neighbor dropped dead next to them. No wolves. No Indians -- let's eat!

Today we see that it is possible to get a university education and - upon hearing true facts about the increased mortality risk of airborne Diesel particulates -- continue to bloviate about the percentage of diesel cars in the Los Angeles basin. Los Angeles isn't London so What? me worry?

* Worry.jpg (3.73 kB, 109x130 - viewed 6601 times.)
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Offline alancalverd

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Re: Is VW likely to have killed many people in the UK with their diesel cars?
« Reply #29 on: 26/09/2015 09:29:28 »
As the original question was about the UK, Los Angeles statistics are irrelevant. But if anyone has any actual figures of  deaths attributed post mortem to diesel particulates, they would be very interesting, regardless of the geographical location.
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Offline chris

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Re: Is VW likely to have killed many people in the UK with their diesel cars?
« Reply #30 on: 26/09/2015 10:18:05 »
When I was in Australia last month I was driving around the southwest with Dr Karl Kruszelnicki and we were discussing the question of diesel emissions. One of the points that surfaced in the conversation was the question of context. A diesel vehicle belching particulates in an urban environment is surely a greater health risk than an equivalent emission in an area with low population density. One presumes that the dispersal of the particles would bring down their influence to a level below that required to produce any kind of clinically relevant effect.

Therefore does there not exist an argument that the enhanced miles per gallon - and hence carbon cost - returned by diesels on the open road (big lorries running up an down motorways at constant speed) outweigh the pariculates cost in that setting.

Conversely, in town, the equation reverses, where slow movement of traffic, cold-started engines and slow clearance of pollution owing to the built environment serve to keep the concentration of the particles at a higher - potentially health-threatening - level for longer...   

We weren't sure whether this was a fallacious argument or not. What do you think?
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Offline wolfekeeper (OP)

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Re: Is VW likely to have killed many people in the UK with their diesel cars?
« Reply #31 on: 26/09/2015 14:24:53 »
It probably depends on how far the particulates travel before precipitating out. I suspect quite a long way.

In the UK, half the country is to the East of the M1 (for example), so the lorries would be pumping out a whole bunch of particulates and the prevailing winds would then waft their evilness over the rest of Britain and even onto the continent.

But it may even be that that's what diesel engines already do to some degree; apparently the manufacturers have an in depth discussion with the EPA about what the best way their emissions should be handled, I'm sure that kind of strategy would have come up.
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Offline Pecos_Bill

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Re: Is VW likely to have killed many people in the UK with their diesel cars?
« Reply #32 on: 26/09/2015 17:42:31 »
It amazes me to see how lightly the empiricism of John Locke and Francis Bacon has infected the medieval scholasticism of the naked scientists.

To put that in the broad scots, "Why don't you people deploy some recce, open the window and see for yourselves?"

Quote
Public Health England’s (PHE) figures suggest that PM2.5 is a major cause
of disease in London, and at least as important as road accidents, communicable
disease, liver disease and suicide, and ranks up to 5th overall.

-A review of recent primary epidemiological evidence on the health risks of air
pollution for the City of London Corporation, including quantitative estimates of the
effects in Central London [1.]


Apparently the naked scientists have many among them who are tired of living.

This phenomenon is denoted by the verb "autodarwinate". What we see here is a segment of the human species autodarwinating.

For those who may be interested in making old bones, here is a map of air pollution in London.

http://www.londonair.org.uk/london/asp/annualmaps.asp

Those who think it is a significant endeavour to sit around talking about VW should have their Mommy's put them to bed, because the hour is late for such babes in the woods.


[1.] https://www.cityoflondon.gov.uk/business/environmental-health/environmental-protection/air-quality/Documents/Impacts-Of-Air-Pollution-On-Health.pdf
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Offline Bored chemist

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Re: Is VW likely to have killed many people in the UK with their diesel cars?
« Reply #33 on: 26/09/2015 18:49:01 »
"To put that in the broad scots, "Why don't you people deploy some recce, open the window and see for yourselves?""
OK. I looked out of the window and I saw people living for longer than they ever did before.
At the least, that tells me that air pollution isn't killing in droves like it used to.
It seems likely that VW's actions will have raised the death toll, and they should be held to account for that.
But exactly what you expect us to do about it remains a mystery.
The fact that their share value fell by a third within 2 days will probably do more to  persuade them (and others) not to do that again, than anything we can do.
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Offline Pecos_Bill

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Re: Is VW likely to have killed many people in the UK with their diesel cars?
« Reply #34 on: 26/09/2015 19:04:05 »
I have previously said here...

The way to do  that (achieve clean air) is to use 4th generation nuclear power to energize electric vehicles.

To say that I haven't addressed this problem here is just plain common.

This is the Naked Scientists open science forum -- not the Oxford faculty club. This petty behavior detracts from the usefulness of these discussions and is deplorable.

It is particularly deplorable when we are discussing the health and welfare of human beings in general and the people of London in particular.

As to the ignorant falsehood that "air pollution isn't killing in droves like it used to" I repeat the previously entered statement which was purchased by the city of London for its peoples' welfare.

Public Health England’s (PHE) figures suggest that PM2.5 is a major cause of disease in London, and at least as important as road accidents, communicable disease, liver disease and suicide, and ranks up to 5th overall. [op.cit ]
« Last Edit: 26/09/2015 19:21:55 by Pecos_Bill »
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Offline alancalverd

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Re: Is VW likely to have killed many people in the UK with their diesel cars?
« Reply #35 on: 26/09/2015 19:28:51 »
Thanks for the references, PB. I have found some numbers in the second reference and we can now answer the question.

Quote
Reducing Daily PM2.5 concentrations to the WHO guideline of 10μgm-3
This could have the benefit of avoiding 37 respiratory hospital admissions in Central
London annually, or about 1.5% of respiratory admissions. It could reduce CVD
hospitalizations by 50 per year, or about 0.7% of the 7004 annually.

I note "could" and "about 1.5%", but let's take the worst case. If we assume that half of the diesel particulate emissions in London are from cars (it's probably a lot less than half, thanks to the reintroduction of diesel buses) and that VW diesels account for 1 car in 20 in the UK*, it is just possible that they are responsible for one respiratory admission per year in London.

Given that other UK cities are much smaller and mostly a lot windier, I'd guess the answer, at least for hosptal admissions, is around 3 per annum attributable to VW diesel car particulates over the whole UK.

The irony is twofold: Far more admissions are caused by NO2 exposure (and these are definitively diagnosed and recorded, whereas the particulate figures are speculative) which comes from all i.c. engines. And VW diesels (or their Renault derivatives) are the preferred emergency ambulance engines.

The VW diesel giveth (a lot), and the VW diesel taketh away (a little). 


*data from the Daily Mail, I'm afraid, but what the heck - Pete's reference was by a Cambridge author so you can't trust either of them. 
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Offline Pecos_Bill

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Re: Is VW likely to have killed many people in the UK with their diesel cars?
« Reply #36 on: 26/09/2015 20:39:02 »
I am  disgusted by this callous and nonchalant regard for human lives  and suffering... to say nothing of the carefree disregard of the needless drain on the NHS budget.

Is it any wonder that the SNP wants freedom from being yoked alongside brutes like this?

My data is not from the daily mail. I repeat it again..

Public Health England’s (PHE) figures suggest that PM2.5 is a major cause of disease in London, and at least as important as road accidents, communicable disease, liver disease and suicide, and ranks up to 5th overall

Furthermore his statement that "whereas the particulate figures are speculative" shames every honest person in Britain. This man is fully aware that "PM 2.5" refers to particulate matter of 2.5 mm.
« Last Edit: 26/09/2015 20:59:19 by Pecos_Bill »
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Offline alancalverd

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Re: Is VW likely to have killed many people in the UK with their diesel cars?
« Reply #37 on: 26/09/2015 23:34:15 »
2.5 μm, not mm. Particles of a tenth of an inch diameter don't get very far in the respiratory system.   

It's a pity we don't have actual figures from PHE, but whilst they employ some very able friends and colleagues on the laboratory benches, their publications don't rate very highly in my estimation - far too much politics between the numbers.

There were 132 road accident deaths in London in 2013, about 700 suicides, 1800 from liver disease, 7000 from communicable diseases. So I guess the "up to fifth" in this oddly logarithmic scale might be, perhaps 10 to 20? That is commensurate with the Parliament Hill estimate you quoted, and mine.

If you want a "needless drain on the NHS budget", look no further than the Thatcher reforms, the Ionising Radiations (Medical Exposure) Regulations, and the Care Quality Commission. Billions of pounds spent every year on pointless administration and navel-gazing. But it will all be reformed by the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership, which will put the final nail in the coffin of evil, atheistic socialised medicine and hand the NHS (or at least the potentially profitable bits) over to US commercial interests.
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Offline Pecos_Bill

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Re: Is VW likely to have killed many people in the UK with their diesel cars?
« Reply #38 on: 27/09/2015 03:03:34 »
I will say no more of this. It was posted at 23:34 on a Saturday night. It, thus, graphically shows that the super-ego is soluble in ethanol - and in vino veritas.

The true nature of this person is evident in his own words.

I have heretofore tended to think the song "God Save England" was a sarcastic and unfair exagerration ... but after reading this....

Further, the Affiant sayeth not
« Last Edit: 27/09/2015 03:21:49 by Pecos_Bill »
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Offline wolfekeeper (OP)

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Re: Is VW likely to have killed many people in the UK with their diesel cars?
« Reply #39 on: 28/09/2015 03:53:59 »
Quote from: Pecos_Bill on 26/09/2015 17:42:31
To put that in the broad scots, "Why don't you people deploy some recce, open the window and see for yourselves?"
That would be because NOx and particulates are largely invisible pollutants.

However, a few months back I did have the misfortune to have to visit Bedford city centre on a very high pollution day; there was what, at least appeared to be, actual visible smog at the time and I GTFO ASAP.

It might not have been, there could have been a fire nearby or something, but the sickly yellowish slightly smoky look to the air did not inspire confidence!
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