[hamdani yusuf (OP)]

A tank of gasoline is fairly robust against small collisions and easily replaced if bent. Batteries don't bend, and are prone to internal shorting under impact.

Gasoline leakage poses fire hazard. Decades of research and engineering haven't change that much.
Some types of batteries have been shown to be fire resistant to puncture and cut.

[alancalverd]

Some types of batteries have been shown to be fire resistant to puncture and cut.

And many are prone to self-combustion after impact - or even spontaneously. Lead-acid batteries are less suicidal but emit hydrogen and explode from time to time.

[Zer0]

The very act of Predictions, high or low, is what Affects the Final outcome.

Not the prediction itself per se, but the real actions based on the prediction. That's including publication of the prediction, which can affect the decision and actions of other economic players.
Predictions alone without follow up actions are not that influential.

When it comes to Stocks & Bonds...
Predictions are Actions!
(Global Markets are Interconnected, reason being some Brokers are Insomniacs)

If i have 1 apple which is predicted to turn into 2 apples the very next day, i would Not trade it off for all the Gold on this planet.
(Prediction negates any follow-up actions)

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wheat_and_chessboard_problem

ps - Nobody sells a Goose that lays Golden eggs.

[alancalverd]

ps - Nobody sells a Goose that lays Golden eggs.

Apart, of course, from successive British governments.

[hamdani yusuf (OP)]

Some types of batteries have been shown to be fire resistant to puncture and cut.

And many are prone to self-combustion after impact - or even spontaneously. Lead-acid batteries are less suicidal but emit hydrogen and explode from time to time.

Then let evolutionary process remove those dangerous batteries from the market. Regulatory countermeasures can speed up the process, especially for those who are careless about their own safety and others'.

[hamdani yusuf (OP)]

Predictions are Actions!

Not necessarily. I've predicted increase of Tesla stock several times based on engineering reviews on YouTube, especially by Sandy Munro and Tony Seba. I took no action afterwards, and got no gain for my inaction.

[hamdani yusuf (OP)]

SpaceX launched Starship atop of its Super Heavy booster from their Starbase facility in South Texas on March 14, 2024

Credit: SpaceX

Making space travels economical is an instrumental goal for building a multiplanetary civilization, which in turn is an instrumental goal to pass a well known great filter.

We can't expect this kind of achievement coming out of a country with small economic size. They can't afford to blow up several starships in the development phase.

[alancalverd]

Making space travels economical is an instrumental goal for building a multiplanetary civilization, which in turn is an instrumental goal to pass a well known great filter.

1. Define "civilisation"  (10 marks)
2. Explain why you think this would be a Good Thing to do. (40 marks)

[hamdani yusuf (OP)]

1. Define "civilisation"  (10 marks)

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Civilization

A civilization (British English: civilisation) is any complex society characterized by the development of the state, social stratification, urbanization, and symbolic systems of communication beyond natural spoken language (namely, a writing system).

Historically, a civilization has often been understood as a larger and "more advanced" culture, in implied contrast to smaller, supposedly less advanced cultures.

The word civilization relates to the Latin civitas or 'city'. As the National Geographic Society has explained it: "This is why the most basic definition of the word civilization is 'a society made up of cities.'"

Another group of theorists, making use of systems theory, looks at a civilization as a complex system, i.e., a framework by which a group of objects can be analysed that work in concert to produce some result. Civilizations can be seen as networks of cities that emerge from pre-urban cultures and are defined by the economic, political, military, diplomatic, social and cultural interactions among them. Any organization is a complex social system and a civilization is a large organization. Systems theory helps guard against superficial and misleading analogies in the study and description of civilizations.

Many theorists argue that the entire world has already become integrated into a single "world system", a process known as globalization. Different civilizations and societies all over the globe are economically, politically, and even culturally interdependent in many ways.

Currently, all known civilizations are earth bound. Their existence depends on the existence of the earth.

[hamdani yusuf (OP)]

2. Explain why you think this would be a Good Thing to do. (40 marks)

Because the alternative is failing to pass the well known great filter, which means the extinction of the only known civilization. If that's acceptable for you, then do as you want. But don't obstruct the efforts of those who think it's unacceptable. Otherwise you'll be seen as the immoral one who stands on the wrong side of history.

[alancalverd]

All civilisation has done for the universe so far has been to increase the entropy and reduce the biodiversity of this planet, to the point at which it may become unsustainable.

Let's keep it local until we achieve something that might actually benefit another celestial body.

[alancalverd]

PS It seems Spacex is looking about as reliable as Boeing right now.

[hamdani yusuf (OP)]

PS It seems Spacex is looking about as reliable as Boeing right now.

IMO, you are comparing apple to orange.

Boeing was once seen as one of the best engineering firms in the world. Today they're plagued with scandals and constantly put profits before the lives of people. What went wrong? In this episode, we find out.

In just over a week since the last episode, a lot has happened with Boeing. From planes diving out of the sky and wheels falling off to the death of a whistle blower. In this episode we'll take a look at all of that and also Boeing's close ties to the US government.

[hamdani yusuf (OP)]

All civilisation has done for the universe so far has been to increase the entropy

I'm sceptical of how you measure entropy of a civilization.

[hamdani yusuf (OP)]

reduce the biodiversity of this planet, to the point at which it may become unsustainable.

Having a biodiversity is an instrumental goal. More biodiversity doesn't always bring more sustainability.
The difference between highly conscious beings and the lower ones is that they can make long-term planning better, which means they are more sustainable.

[alancalverd]

But, assuming you consider homo "sapiens" to be a highly conscious being,  the evidence is to the contrary.

[alancalverd]

I'm sceptical of how you measure entropy of a civilization.

It's the entropy  of the planet, not the "civilisation" that matters.

ΔS > 0 and the more energy you expend, the greater S becomes.

Why would filling the underground seas of Europa with microplastics be a Good Thing? Burying discarded email printouts and empty beer cans on Titan would benefit the universe precisely how?   

[hamdani yusuf (OP)]

It's the entropy  of the planet, not the "civilisation" that matters.

Why should we limit the scope to a planet?

[hamdani yusuf (OP)]

But, assuming you consider homo "sapiens" to be a highly conscious being,  the evidence is to the contrary.

I've defined consciousness as the capacity to achieve goals effectively and efficiently.
Humans have various consciousness level. Babies, toddler, kids, adults, they have shown different level of consciousness. There are also difference among adults.

[hamdani yusuf (OP)]

Why would filling the underground seas of Europa with microplastics be a Good Thing? Burying discarded email printouts and empty beer cans on Titan would benefit the universe precisely how?

What makes you think that future civilization won't be able to recycle resources effectively and efficiently?