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  1. Naked Science Forum
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  4. Coronavirus will get weaker and then what?
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Coronavirus will get weaker and then what?

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Offline Bored chemist

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Re: Coronavirus will get weaker and then what?
« Reply #20 on: 11/11/2021 20:21:37 »
Quote from: puppypower on 11/11/2021 15:17:37
However, the transferred fluids would provide viral fragments from a healthy immune response.
Are you planning to inject snot?
Most of the immune response takes place via blood cells.

The viral fragments  would trigger an immune response, but there's no reason to imagine they would do a better job than the virus.

If your idea was right then all viral diseases would act this way.
They don't.
Quote from: puppypower on 11/11/2021 15:17:37
This may explain why in the USA, states that covered up with masks had similar statistics to states that remained open without masks.
YOU DON'T NEED TO EXPLAIN SOMETHING WHICH DID NOT HAPPEN.
MASK WEARING REDUCED THE TRANSMISSION OF THE VIRUS.
THE STATS WERE NOT REALLY "SIMILAR".
DON'T POST THAT SORT OF NONSENSE ON A SCIENCE SITE.

"Widespread utilization of face masks combined with social distancing increases the odds of SARS-CoV-2 transmission control. "
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7457618/

"Our analysis suggests high adherence to mask wearing could be a key factor in reducing the spread of COVID-19. This association between high mask adherence and reduced COVID-19 rates should influence policy makers and public health officials to focus on ways to improve mask adherence across the population in order to mitigate the spread of COVID-19."
https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0249891


The study provides evidence that US states mandating the use of face masks in public had a greater decline in daily COVID-19 growth rates after issuing these mandates compared with states that did not issue mandates.

https://www.healthaffairs.org/doi/10.1377/hlthaff.2020.00818
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Offline puppypower

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Re: Coronavirus will get weaker and then what?
« Reply #21 on: 14/11/2021 16:15:32 »
The current estimates are that the vaccine only works for a certain amount of time before we need a booster. I heard an estimate of 13 months. The question I have is, do masks and social distancing cause this expiration date problem for the vaccinated?

Consider the following scenario. Say I get vaccinated, but I stay in social circulation without a mask and without concern for social distancing. I will more than likely get the virus again. However, since my immune system is primed by the vaccine, I will overcome the virus easier. This needed immune response should reset the expiration date, since my immune system was engaged like a natural immune response with vaccine crutches.

If I do the opposite and use a mask and avoid social interaction, I may stay clean and healthy. However, my clock ticks and runs out after a year, since I never exercised my immune system to reset the clock. The vaccine reaction was the only exercise, This may be a better free market prescription, but it will delay herd immunity. Herd requires immune system training and exercise, so one is always prepared with a fresh immune clock. This may not be a beneficial free market strategy compared to annual shots.

If I kept myself in a state of periodically resetting the immune clock, by living life in a normal way, I would be releasing both virus and broken down virus to those around me, helping to prime their immune systems, so their clocks can also keep ticking, so they don't need annual overhauls, due to lack of immune system activity.
« Last Edit: 14/11/2021 16:18:10 by puppypower »
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Offline Bored chemist

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Re: Coronavirus will get weaker and then what?
« Reply #22 on: 14/11/2021 18:07:54 »
Quote from: puppypower on 14/11/2021 16:15:32
The question I have is, do masks and social distancing cause this expiration date problem for the vaccinated?
No
It's essentially a consequence of how the immune system works and how viruses mutate.
It's no coincidence that flu jabs also require boosters every year or so.
And they did that when practically nobody wore masks.

So the obvious evidence answers your question.

Why did you ask it?

Quote from: puppypower on 14/11/2021 16:15:32
it will delay herd immunity.
Herd immunity, in the absence of a good vaccine, means "we let the susceptible ones die".

Is that what you want?


In 50 years or so, your model will sort-of work, because everyone will have grown up getting this bug from time to time.
But for now, it's not a good plan.


Quote from: puppypower on 14/11/2021 16:15:32
I heard an estimate of 13 months.
How long is it since the first vaccination tests in human?
What a coincidence!
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Offline puppypower

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Re: Coronavirus will get weaker and then what?
« Reply #23 on: 16/11/2021 15:40:13 »
Quote from: Bored chemist on 14/11/2021 18:07:54
Quote from: puppypower on 14/11/2021 16:15:32
The question I have is, do masks and social distancing cause this expiration date problem for the vaccinated?
No
It's essentially a consequence of how the immune system works and how viruses mutate.
It's no coincidence that flu jabs also require boosters every year or so.
And they did that when practically nobody wore masks.

So the obvious evidence answers your question.

Why did you ask it?

Quote from: puppypower on 14/11/2021 16:15:32
it will delay herd immunity.
Herd immunity, in the absence of a good vaccine, means "we let the susceptible ones die".

Is that what you want?


In 50 years or so, your model will sort-of work, because everyone will have grown up getting this bug from time to time.
But for now, it's not a good plan.


Quote from: puppypower on 14/11/2021 16:15:32
I heard an estimate of 13 months.
How long is it since the first vaccination tests in human?
What a coincidence!

Science and atheism accept evolution in theory, but they avoid it in practice. Instead they practice a type of man made creationism, based on synthetic additives and unnatural outcomes.

I was proposing a natural path, while the consensus of science assumes one size fits all based on the lowest common denominator. This is enforced with guilt and fear and not the principles of evolution. It is strange religion of hypocrisy. It seems to be connected to the oracles of statistics generating worse case scenarios, to help lead thinking.

The path I suggested, which is to exercise the immune system, allows one to overcome mutations faster and easier. The immune system does not require all aspect of a virus to have a successful immune response. The Pfizer vaccine only provides surface protein and this is very effective. Immune system exercise, will gather fragments of both the outer and inner virus under favorable body conditions.  If there is a mutation, that will be many other way to recognize this virus type. No virus will totally change 100%. If we get to avoid immune exercise and the immune system goes off alert in 13 months, then you will be vulnerable. This is part of a good business model.

In the wild of the natural world, herd of deer do not mask up, but somehow they continue to exist. They do not change behavior other than slow down a little. They will continue to interact with each until natural selection makes the herd stronger.

If this does not apply to humans, does that mean human are not under evolution and natural selection? Does it mean we are a creation that can learn to avoid natural selection through will and choice? You can take science out of religion but not religion out of science.
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Offline Bored chemist

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Re: Coronavirus will get weaker and then what?
« Reply #24 on: 16/11/2021 16:23:19 »
Quote from: puppypower on 16/11/2021 15:40:13
Quote from: Bored chemist on 14/11/2021 18:07:54
Quote from: puppypower on 14/11/2021 16:15:32
The question I have is, do masks and social distancing cause this expiration date problem for the vaccinated?
No
It's essentially a consequence of how the immune system works and how viruses mutate.
It's no coincidence that flu jabs also require boosters every year or so.
And they did that when practically nobody wore masks.

So the obvious evidence answers your question.

Why did you ask it?

Quote from: puppypower on 14/11/2021 16:15:32
it will delay herd immunity.
Herd immunity, in the absence of a good vaccine, means "we let the susceptible ones die".

Is that what you want?


In 50 years or so, your model will sort-of work, because everyone will have grown up getting this bug from time to time.
But for now, it's not a good plan.


Quote from: puppypower on 14/11/2021 16:15:32
I heard an estimate of 13 months.
How long is it since the first vaccination tests in human?
What a coincidence!

Science and atheism accept evolution in theory, but they avoid it in practice. Instead they practice a type of man made creationism, based on synthetic additives and unnatural outcomes.

I was proposing a natural path, while the consensus of science assumes one size fits all based on the lowest common denominator. This is enforced with guilt and fear and not the principles of evolution. It is strange religion of hypocrisy. It seems to be connected to the oracles of statistics generating worse case scenarios, to help lead thinking.

The path I suggested, which is to exercise the immune system, allows one to overcome mutations faster and easier. The immune system does not require all aspect of a virus to have a successful immune response. The Pfizer vaccine only provides surface protein and this is very effective. Immune system exercise, will gather fragments of both the outer and inner virus under favorable body conditions.  If there is a mutation, that will be many other way to recognize this virus type. No virus will totally change 100%. If we get to avoid immune exercise and the immune system goes off alert in 13 months, then you will be vulnerable. This is part of a good business model.

In the wild of the natural world, herd of deer do not mask up, but somehow they continue to exist. They do not change behavior other than slow down a little. They will continue to interact with each until natural selection makes the herd stronger.

If this does not apply to humans, does that mean human are not under evolution and natural selection? Does it mean we are a creation that can learn to avoid natural selection through will and choice? You can take science out of religion but not religion out of science.

Do you know what this  symbol "?" means?
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Offline Zer0

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Re: Coronavirus will get weaker and then what?
« Reply #25 on: 16/11/2021 20:57:15 »
HeeY PP

" In the wild of the natural world, herd of deer do not mask up, but somehow they continue to exist. "

They don't have a way of consuming Bat soup i guess.
So overcooking or undercooking it might not be a huge concern for them.


" They do not change behavior other than slow down a little. They will continue to interact with each until natural selection makes the herd stronger. "

They don't seem to have other options available to them, no masks, no vaccines & no virologists.

" If this does not apply to humans, does that mean human are not under evolution and natural selection? "

Humans have probably freed themselves from the tight grasp of uncertain fate & unknown destiny.
CRISPR is a fine exsmple.


" Does it mean we are a creation that can learn to avoid natural selection through will and choice? "

We do possess Free Will, do we not?

" You can take science out of religion but not religion out of science. "

There isn't much work for Faith or Belief in Science, it's mostly about
critical thinking & logical reasoning & evidental facts that's all.


Ps - Haven't you heard that spectacular Quote from Prof Neil Degrasse Tyson about Science?
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Offline Kryptid

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Re: Coronavirus will get weaker and then what?
« Reply #26 on: 17/11/2021 06:29:40 »
Quote from: puppypower on 16/11/2021 15:40:13
Science and atheism accept evolution in theory

Atheism is simply the lack of belief in a god. It has no requirement to accept or reject anything other than that premise.

Quote
Immune system exercise, will gather fragments of both the outer and inner virus under favorable body conditions.

How is the immune system recognizing the inside of a virus going to help? The viruses that are actually dangerous will be intact and thus not expose their guts to the immune system.

Quote from: puppypower on 16/11/2021 15:40:13
In the wild of the natural world, herd of deer do not mask up, but somehow they continue to exist. They do not change behavior other than slow down a little. They will continue to interact with each until natural selection makes the herd stronger.

Animal populations endure crashes (i.e. a whole lot of them dying in short time span) as well. The only thing unique about the human condition is that we can put the brakes on such crashes with medical technology and by changing behavior. Could you just let natural selection fix the COVID problem? Yes, but that requires letting a lot of people die. Not the most ethical of options.
« Last Edit: 17/11/2021 06:32:15 by Kryptid »
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Offline Bored chemist

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Re: Coronavirus will get weaker and then what?
« Reply #27 on: 17/11/2021 08:45:04 »
Quote from: Kryptid on 17/11/2021 06:29:40
Could you just let natural selection fix the COVID problem? Yes, but that requires letting a lot of people die. Not the most ethical of options.
PP is apparently content with it as a "solution".
I pointed out that
Quote from: Bored chemist on 14/11/2021 18:07:54
Herd immunity, in the absence of a good vaccine, means "we let the susceptible ones die".
and he didn't comment on it.
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Offline The Spoon

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Re: Coronavirus will get weaker and then what?
« Reply #28 on: 17/11/2021 13:42:48 »
Quote from: puppypower on 16/11/2021 15:40:13
Quote from: Bored chemist on 14/11/2021 18:07:54
Quote from: puppypower on 14/11/2021 16:15:32
The question I have is, do masks and social distancing cause this expiration date problem for the vaccinated?
No
It's essentially a consequence of how the immune system works and how viruses mutate.
It's no coincidence that flu jabs also require boosters every year or so.
And they did that when practically nobody wore masks.

So the obvious evidence answers your question.

Why did you ask it?

Quote from: puppypower on 14/11/2021 16:15:32
it will delay herd immunity.
Herd immunity, in the absence of a good vaccine, means "we let the susceptible ones die".

Is that what you want?


In 50 years or so, your model will sort-of work, because everyone will have grown up getting this bug from time to time.
But for now, it's not a good plan.


Quote from: puppypower on 14/11/2021 16:15:32
I heard an estimate of 13 months.
How long is it since the first vaccination tests in human?
What a coincidence!

Science and atheism accept evolution in theory, but they avoid it in practice. Instead they practice a type of man made creationism, based on synthetic additives and unnatural outcomes.

I was proposing a natural path, while the consensus of science assumes one size fits all based on the lowest common denominator. This is enforced with guilt and fear and not the principles of evolution. It is strange religion of hypocrisy. It seems to be connected to the oracles of statistics generating worse case scenarios, to help lead thinking.

The path I suggested, which is to exercise the immune system, allows one to overcome mutations faster and easier. The immune system does not require all aspect of a virus to have a successful immune response. The Pfizer vaccine only provides surface protein and this is very effective. Immune system exercise, will gather fragments of both the outer and inner virus under favorable body conditions.  If there is a mutation, that will be many other way to recognize this virus type. No virus will totally change 100%. If we get to avoid immune exercise and the immune system goes off alert in 13 months, then you will be vulnerable. This is part of a good business model.

In the wild of the natural world, herd of deer do not mask up, but somehow they continue to exist. They do not change behavior other than slow down a little. They will continue to interact with each until natural selection makes the herd stronger.

If this does not apply to humans, does that mean human are not under evolution and natural selection? Does it mean we are a creation that can learn to avoid natural selection through will and choice? You can take science out of religion but not religion out of science.

More word salad from the sites premier garbage merchant. The only thing it achieves is to demonstrate a lack of scientific knowledge and an inability to understand concepts like 'science' and 'athiesm'.
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Offline Zer0

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Re: Coronavirus will get weaker and then what?
« Reply #29 on: 17/11/2021 19:23:11 »
Reverting back to the OP...
I believe Mutations are a Major Concern.

I also believe that this ain't gonna end soon.
I do not know how the Spanish Flu faded out.

Thou I'm aware it did not originate in Spain, it's just that Spaniards were pretty Transparent and did not hide facts, hence that reference got stuck.

Ps - PP i hope ur eye is good now.
Be calm n just swallow the red pill.
& Remember...there is No Spoon!
🤭
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Offline aspagnito (OP)

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Re: Coronavirus will get weaker and then what?
« Reply #30 on: 30/11/2021 15:33:24 »
Well it looks like I am a prophet or some kind of a visioner huh? 'Cause I was chatting with YOu about the Omikron variant. It gives:
- headaches
- caugh
...and nothing more.

Well, the next step in my prophetising - I tell Ya! - that won't be the last variant. The last variant will give no symptoms at all and lasting immunity. And people won't understand it, but it will look like a miracle - like people will totally stop being ill. And if you ask me? This process has already started a while ago.

1N73LL1G3NC3  15  7H3  481L17Y  70  4D4P7  70  CH4NG3

No - you got that totally wrong. One has got to be invasive to adapt to a change. Animals don't have to be intelligent to adapt to a change - neither plants, mushrooms or viruses or bacterias... etc. etc..  Intelligence is fluency in explicating logical constructs.
« Last Edit: 30/11/2021 15:40:49 by aspagnito »
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Offline alancalverd

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Re: Coronavirus will get weaker and then what?
« Reply #31 on: 30/11/2021 15:59:32 »
Intelligence is the ability to surprise.

So far, COVID has demonstrated more intelligence than any government.
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Offline aspagnito (OP)

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Re: Coronavirus will get weaker and then what?
« Reply #32 on: 01/12/2021 08:45:54 »
One has got to be rather irrational, than intelligent to surprise.
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Offline evan_au

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Re: Coronavirus will get weaker and then what?
« Reply #33 on: 01/12/2021 09:42:58 »
Quote from: aspagnito
Omikron variant. It gives:
- headaches
- caugh
...and nothing more.
How do you know? This variant has only been studied for a few weeks.
- It has been studied in a mostly young population. What happens when it gets into an aged-care facility near you? Nobody knows.
- It took several months for Long COVID to be recognized as a syndrome. It won't be obvious yet if this variant produces less (or more) long COVID.

We won't be able to make confident assertions about this variant for a few more weeks - maybe a month (and academic papers will continue being published for a few years...). In the meantime, we have to rely on anecdotal evidence:
- Symptoms did seem milder (to one doctor): Promising that it might be less virulent/lethal
- Loss of smell was not so common: Promising that it may cause less nerve/brain damage
- It did seem to overtake Delta in one province: Concern that it may be more transmissible.
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