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I'm building a hypothesis from the information we have, not grabbing a hypothesis out of the air then looking for data to support it, the latter is bad science. Clues from the genetics of the virus lead to certain hypotheses.
Quote from: Jolly2 on 27/02/2021 22:16:28I'm building a hypothesis from the information we have, not grabbing a hypothesis out of the air then looking for data to support it, the latter is bad science. Clues from the genetics of the virus lead to certain hypotheses.You are building up a hypothesis from your chosen amount of very inconclusive evidence
and imagining a very complex chain of events. You have set out to support a theory of conspiracy and are trying to pick evidence to support it.
Possibilities and "yeh but it could have happened" are nothing more than conjecture. Theories here are supposed to have some supporting evidence and no evidence concrete to the contrary.
Given you think a mutation happened, the corona 19 was not released in the USA by your own admission.
No, the only hypothessis I personally have been looking at and developing is the use of the R0 and incubation to find the time patient 0.The other hypothesis of a laboratory escape or intentional release are not mine. As the hypothesis of zoological origin not mine.
In your imagination, not in reality.
I agree and the evidence points more to a gain of function virus then a zoological evolution in nature. As Bret Weinstein stated the evidence towards a laboratory virus has been increasing and the evidence of a zoological origin diminishing. Plus a mutation to vary the R rate
Under one hypothesis, there are others where it could have. You are simplifying and it's not really helpful to a discussion
Quote from: Jolly2 on 27/02/2021 23:37:11No, the only hypothessis I personally have been looking at and developing is the use of the R0 and incubation to find the time patient 0.The other hypothesis of a laboratory escape or intentional release are not mine. As the hypothesis of zoological origin not mine.the virus you are looking at is your mutation, this is corona 19 the R number is what it is. The prior hypothesised virus of yours is incalculable the virus you are looking at is your mutation, this is corona 19 the R number is what it is. The prior hypothesised virus of yours is incalculable
Quote from: Jolly2 on 27/02/2021 23:37:11In your imagination, not in reality. the virus you are looking at is your mutation, this is corona 19 the R number is what it is.
The prior hypothesised virus of yours is incalculable that an escape from a lab was somehow covered up by an elaboratey staged misinformation campaign featuring virus trial runs, hidden deaths and international
espionage by way of an athletic event in Wuhan.
Quote from: Jolly2 on 27/02/2021 23:37:11I agree and the evidence points more to a gain of function virus then a zoological evolution in nature. As Bret Weinstein stated the evidence towards a laboratory virus has been increasing and the evidence of a zoological origin diminishing. Plus a mutation to vary the R ratebut 6 months prior to Wuhan it does not. The R rate is not dependant upon the source
Quote from: Jolly2 on 27/02/2021 23:37:11Under one hypothesis, there are others where it could have. You are simplifying and it's not really helpful to a discussion the virus you are looking at is your mutation, this is corona 19 the R number is what it is. The prior hypothesised virus of yours is incalculable
Your rejection of facts,
lack of evidence and rejection ofdiscussion and the application of reason in it are stifling the debate.
Generally because Laboratories are indoors, and if as part of gain of function research they were housing sick animals next to healthy ones, then taking any that get sick and repeating the process as a means to increase the virus' transmission as a part of that gain of function research.It's all a process that takes place indoors, where the virus wouldn't adapt to contend with the outdoor environment.
There is evidence that sunlight destroys covid19, showing that it must have evolved either in a nocturnal critter, or in an environment without sunlight, a laboratory with electrical lighting also would qualify.
A cover up isnt involved in the development of the virus
It's an essential part of the scenario you posit. Without evidence of a cover-up, another unevidenced claim is tacked on to your explanation. That hurts its plausibility.
Quote from: Petrochemicals on 28/02/2021 00:25:59Quote from: Jolly2 on 27/02/2021 23:37:11No, the only hypothessis I personally have been looking at and developing is the use of the R0 and incubation to find the time patient 0.The other hypothesis of a laboratory escape or intentional release are not mine. As the hypothesis of zoological origin not mine.the virus you are looking at is your mutation, this is corona 19 the R number is what it is. The prior hypothesised virus of yours is incalculable the virus you are looking at is your mutation, this is corona 19 the R number is what it is. The prior hypothesised virus of yours is incalculableAgain it's not my hypothesis, the WHO is currently looking into ferret badgers as the intermediary, and until the ancestor virus is found, we can only speculate on the properties it had.Quote from: Petrochemicals on 28/02/2021 00:25:59Quote from: Jolly2 on 27/02/2021 23:37:11In your imagination, not in reality. the virus you are looking at is your mutation, this is corona 19 the R number is what it is. No one disputes covid19 is a mutation from another Corona virus, doesnt change that we don't know the properties of the ancestor virus.Quote from: Petrochemicals on 28/02/2021 00:25:59The prior hypothesised virus of yours is incalculable that an escape from a lab was somehow covered up by an elaboratey staged misinformation campaign featuring virus trial runs, hidden deaths and international And here you are adding characteristics that we dont know the ancestor virus had, its possible the ancestor virus wouldn't have killed anyone, to suggest it would have is an addition you are adding.If a virus escaped a laboratory a cover up by authorities is a later development and possible.Quote from: Petrochemicals on 28/02/2021 00:25:59espionage by way of an athletic event in Wuhan. Not espionage more sabotage. Quote from: Petrochemicals on 28/02/2021 00:25:59Quote from: Jolly2 on 27/02/2021 23:37:11I agree and the evidence points more to a gain of function virus then a zoological evolution in nature. As Bret Weinstein stated the evidence towards a laboratory virus has been increasing and the evidence of a zoological origin diminishing. Plus a mutation to vary the R ratebut 6 months prior to Wuhan it does not. The R rate is not dependant upon the source Of covid not the ancestor it evolved from. This repetition from you is rather mundane.Quote from: Petrochemicals on 28/02/2021 00:25:59Quote from: Jolly2 on 27/02/2021 23:37:11Under one hypothesis, there are others where it could have. You are simplifying and it's not really helpful to a discussion the virus you are looking at is your mutation, this is corona 19 the R number is what it is. The prior hypothesised virus of yours is incalculableNot mine, as stated before the WHO along with many other scientists are looking for the intermediary and the ancestor of covid19.Quote from: Petrochemicals on 28/02/2021 00:25:59Your rejection of facts, What "Facts"? your just making statements with no "facts", so please what facts?Quote from: Petrochemicals on 28/02/2021 00:25:59lack of evidence and rejection ofdiscussion and the application of reason in it are stifling the debate.That would be you currently, if you have some facts then present them
Quote from: Jolly2 on 28/02/2021 02:38:44Quote from: Petrochemicals on 28/02/2021 00:25:59Quote from: Jolly2 on 27/02/2021 23:37:11No, the only hypothessis I personally have been looking at and developing is the use of the R0 and incubation to find the time patient 0.The other hypothesis of a laboratory escape or intentional release are not mine. As the hypothesis of zoological origin not mine.the virus you are looking at is your mutation, this is corona 19 the R number is what it is. The prior hypothesised virus of yours is incalculable the virus you are looking at is your mutation, this is corona 19 the R number is what it is. The prior hypothesised virus of yours is incalculableAgain it's not my hypothesis, the WHO is currently looking into ferret badgers as the intermediary, and until the ancestor virus is found, we can only speculate on the properties it had.Quote from: Petrochemicals on 28/02/2021 00:25:59Quote from: Jolly2 on 27/02/2021 23:37:11In your imagination, not in reality. the virus you are looking at is your mutation, this is corona 19 the R number is what it is. No one disputes covid19 is a mutation from another Corona virus, doesnt change that we don't know the properties of the ancestor virus.Quote from: Petrochemicals on 28/02/2021 00:25:59The prior hypothesised virus of yours is incalculable that an escape from a lab was somehow covered up by an elaboratey staged misinformation campaign featuring virus trial runs, hidden deaths and international And here you are adding characteristics that we dont know the ancestor virus had, its possible the ancestor virus wouldn't have killed anyone, to suggest it would have is an addition you are adding.If a virus escaped a laboratory a cover up by authorities is a later development and possible.Quote from: Petrochemicals on 28/02/2021 00:25:59espionage by way of an athletic event in Wuhan. Not espionage more sabotage. Quote from: Petrochemicals on 28/02/2021 00:25:59Quote from: Jolly2 on 27/02/2021 23:37:11I agree and the evidence points more to a gain of function virus then a zoological evolution in nature. As Bret Weinstein stated the evidence towards a laboratory virus has been increasing and the evidence of a zoological origin diminishing. Plus a mutation to vary the R ratebut 6 months prior to Wuhan it does not. The R rate is not dependant upon the source Of covid not the ancestor it evolved from. This repetition from you is rather mundane.Quote from: Petrochemicals on 28/02/2021 00:25:59Quote from: Jolly2 on 27/02/2021 23:37:11Under one hypothesis, there are others where it could have. You are simplifying and it's not really helpful to a discussion the virus you are looking at is your mutation, this is corona 19 the R number is what it is. The prior hypothesised virus of yours is incalculableNot mine, as stated before the WHO along with many other scientists are looking for the intermediary and the ancestor of covid19.Quote from: Petrochemicals on 28/02/2021 00:25:59Your rejection of facts, What "Facts"? your just making statements with no "facts", so please what facts?Quote from: Petrochemicals on 28/02/2021 00:25:59lack of evidence and rejection ofdiscussion and the application of reason in it are stifling the debate.That would be you currently, if you have some facts then present themBut the sum total is the R rate of your hypothesised mutant is that of the virus that originated in wuhan, Corona 19. The corona19 virus originated in wuhan.
if as part of gain of function research they were housing sick animals next to healthy ones,
Generally because Laboratories are indoors,
Quote from: Jolly2 on 27/02/2021 22:27:11if as part of gain of function research they were housing sick animals next to healthy ones,But there's no reason to imagine that they were doing that sort of research, is there?You made that up.It's just a guess- and not a very plausible one.
Quote from: Jolly2 on 27/02/2021 22:27:11Generally because Laboratories are indoors,The virus does not know that.
So that fact can't influence the virus, can it?Quote from: Jolly2 on 27/02/2021 23:37:11In your imagination, not in reality.No.In this thread.
I didn't make up anything, it is a mechanism discussed by Bret Weinstein.
Quote from: Jolly2 on 28/02/2021 11:46:27I didn't make up anything, it is a mechanism discussed by Bret Weinstein.OK you posted something which someone else made up.Do you think that's really different?Do you think that viruses understand, or are aware of, the fact that labs are inside?
Back to bats, Chinese scientists have found a SARS cov virus 91% and 96% similar to sars cov2 in Bats in Cambodia and Thailand.
but it could be...
Randy Marsh and Micky Mouse on a bender in China.
the virus was clearly recorded at some point in the past.
the initial virus used for gain of function research
Sunlight kills it.
Your just as always making nonsense points.
Quote from: Jolly2 on 28/02/2021 12:26:24Sunlight kills it.Sunlight kills all viruses.But thank you for explaining the root of your misunderstanding.
Quote from: Jolly2 on 28/02/2021 11:50:09Back to bats, Chinese scientists have found a SARS cov virus 91% and 96% similar to sars cov2 in Bats in Cambodia and Thailand. OK, so that confirms that bats have been harbouring a covid like virus for long enough that it has had time to travel between China, Cambodia and Thailand.In doing so, they have pretty much eliminated that idea that this virus is man made-
it's not plausible that a man made virus would move that quickly through a non-human population (Bats might fly, but not on aircraft).
So we know that the covid 19 virus is of natural origin.
Quote from: Jolly2 on 28/02/2021 11:50:09but it could be... Quote from: Petrochemicals on 26/02/2021 20:58:00Randy Marsh and Micky Mouse on a bender in China.Quote from: Jolly2 on 28/02/2021 11:50:09 the virus was clearly recorded at some point in the past.As you would expect.There was a lot of interest in this sort of virus when the SARS outbreak happened.Quote from: Jolly2 on 28/02/2021 11:50:09 the initial virus used for gain of function research There is still no evidence for that research ever having happened.Do you understand that?
More nonsense
an intermediary, which could be a laboratory, or a human
Quote from: Jolly2 on Today at 11:50:09but it could be...Quote from: Petrochemicals on 26/02/2021 20:58:00Randy Marsh and Micky Mouse on a bender in China.
Quote from: Jolly2 on 28/02/2021 12:35:14an intermediary, which could be a laboratory, or a humanQuote from: Bored chemist on 28/02/2021 12:27:20Quote from: Jolly2 on Today at 11:50:09but it could be...Quote from: Petrochemicals on 26/02/2021 20:58:00Randy Marsh and Micky Mouse on a bender in China.
Quote from: Bored chemist on 28/02/2021 12:43:24Quote from: Jolly2 on 28/02/2021 12:35:14an intermediary, which could be a laboratory, or a humanQuote from: Bored chemist on 28/02/2021 12:27:20Quote from: Jolly2 on Today at 11:50:09but it could be...Quote from: Petrochemicals on 26/02/2021 20:58:00Randy Marsh and Micky Mouse on a bender in China.More nonsense which I'm not replying to